Market
Jerome Powell federally charged by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:37 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alegrandebig0x3773…f0dd | No | 293 | 96.9¢ | $278 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 7,087 bets |
| ceewonayewon0xba57…5513 | No | 105 | 90.9¢ | $99 | — |
| hspje890xb44b…3fdb | No | 10 | 98.8¢ | $10 | — |
| Duke2222780x9594…06ea | No | 9 | 98.3¢ | $9 | — |
| Om.Ali0x59f7…1869 | Yes | 131 | 1.8¢ | $7 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 119 | 3.1¢ | $6 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| 4zyrZabz1yZ40x0a68…c1b0 | No | 5 | 98.8¢ | $5 | New94 settled bets |
| Quorl520xe898…d69d | No | 4 | 98.2¢ | $4 | — |
| Yacarecaiman40760xb9dd…96fe | No | 3 | 98.2¢ | $3 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 44 | 3.2¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| ArcticFrost770xc432…506d | No | 2 | 98.3¢ | $2 | — |
| DirkDiggler670xaab9…a08d | Yes | 34 | 3.2¢ | $2 | Proven+$5.81 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| 9BtZ4F80xed91…fc15 | No | 2 | 98.2¢ | $2 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 30 | 1.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| mrblarg640x2482…fd45 | No | 1 | 97.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 19 | 1.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| Talophex0xd0db…b117 | No | 1 | 95.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.05 per $100 · 1,929 bets |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 17 | 1.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.60 per $100 · 56,831+ bets · updating |
| niglette0x23ed…aebc | Yes | 17 | 11.0¢ | $1 | — |
| richyee0xcdf5…e344 | No | 1 | 93.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 10 | 1.4¢ | $0 | — |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 9 | 11.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$18.76 per $100 · 22,737 bets |
| 23g24gb0xa532…cc03 | Yes | 3 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 3 | 11.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 98.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| 79fsdfs0x2564…f258 | Yes | 1 | 7.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.85 per $100 · 2,461 bets |
| omnibus-6c8b150x6c8b…645c | No | 0 | 98.9¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.84 per $100 · 4,806 bets |
| 0xe3ae…217a | Yes | 0 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.