Market · 1 of 4 outcomes
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 09:20 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basilomo0x86ba…3694 | No | 75 | 64.0¢ | $50 | — |
| fuckpolymarket0x86bc…c15f | Yes | 135 | 37.0¢ | $45 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 37 | 63.6¢ | $25 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 124,761+ bets · updating |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | No | 20 | 80.0¢ | $13 | Losing−$4.15 per $100 · 8,815 bets |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | No | 20 | 79.0¢ | $13 | Losing−$3.48 per $100 · 14,006 bets |
| theitaliangoats0x217a…86db | No | 10 | 99.0¢ | $7 | New15 settled bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 20 | 34.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$513.99 per $100 · 51,400 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 3 | 77.5¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0x25e7…45cd | No | 0 | 94.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ConfusedUngaBunga0x1e10…beee | Yes | 0 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$39.85 per $100 · 6,237 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.