Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? · Polyray
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Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?
Chance of Bibi
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As written on Polymarket for “Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?”.
§1Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
§2This market will resolve to “Bibi” (Netanyahu bloc) if Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas win a greater combined total of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election than The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu.
§3This market will resolve to “Opp.” (opposition bloc) if The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu win a greater combined total of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election than Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas.
§4Seats won by any party not named above will not count toward either bloc.
§5If both blocs win the same combined number of seats, this market will resolve to the bloc whose named parties received the greater combined total of valid votes, counting only the votes of named parties that pass the electoral threshold.
§6If the blocs remain tied, this market will resolve 50-50.
§7If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:46 UTC. Not financial advice.
§8This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Israeli Knesset.
§9This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
§10If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).