Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 12:01 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 16 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talophex0xd0db…b117 | No | 10,057 | 94.9¢ | $9.57K | Proven+$2.05 per $100 · 1,929 bets |
| Stableincome0x2ee7…ce15 | No | 4,657 | 95.1¢ | $4.43K | New62 settled bets |
| forinnerpsandr1x112220x5c14…cc49 | No | 3,574 | 85.4¢ | $3.4K | Proven+$2.66 per $100 · 298 bets |
| BlindAndDeaf0x40a6…133c | No | 2,105 | 95.0¢ | $2K | New39 settled bets |
| 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b040x9507…7b04 | No | 2,079 | 89.5¢ | $1.98K | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,709 bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | No | 2,000 | 96.0¢ | $1.9K | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,286 bets |
| Scoofy-Bubik0x709a…7e39 | No | 1,833 | 89.6¢ | $1.74K | New83 settled bets |
| Krass0x581d…b2e3 | No | 1,500 | 87.3¢ | $1.43K | Proven+$4.65 per $100 · 885 bets |
| lava-lava0x629b…995a | No | 1,384 | 88.5¢ | $1.32K | Proven+$7.84 per $100 · 1,852 bets |
| 4bet0x893b…f5ec | No | 1,324 | 86.4¢ | $1.26K | — |
| Adamtulu0xd294…4786 | No | 1,307 | 91.8¢ | $1.24K | — |
| MrNoItAll0x836f…906e | No | 1,022 | 95.2¢ | $972 | Positive+$1.90 per $100 · 499 bets |
| ChetterHummin0xc406…07d9 | No | 1,020 | 83.0¢ | $970 | — |
| bigshort0x21d5…9925 | No | 1,006 | 95.1¢ | $957 | Proven+$2.59 per $100 · 534 bets |
| 0x8931…a90c | No | 965 | 94.0¢ | $918 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 611 bets |
| Daviddu08130xed7b…1ba9 | No | 688 | 87.3¢ | $654 | New55 settled bets |
| Eia0x166a…d7ed | No | 610 | 94.8¢ | $580 | Proven+$5.90 per $100 · 1,217 bets |
| GironaNite0x95d5…08bc | No | 500 | 92.0¢ | $476 | Proven+$2.09 per $100 · 201 bets |
| 007-Bond0x8947…f4b4 | No | 500 | 93.8¢ | $476 | New96 settled bets |
| annakarl0x0707…310a | No | 491 | 84.2¢ | $467 | — |
| notworthit0x1b3f…b538 | No | 465 | 94.6¢ | $442 | New21 settled bets |
| jesus9110x8c8a…e62a | Yes | 8,000 | 4.0¢ | $388 | — |
| Discombobulator70x029a…9cc0 | Yes | 6,000 | 4.7¢ | $291 | New7 settled bets |
| K1ngN0rth0x04ec…580f | No | 300 | 82.3¢ | $285 | Proven+$3.32 per $100 · 959 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 295 | 93.0¢ | $281 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,081 bets |
| tilchi0x7f1d…45dc | No | 290 | 95.1¢ | $276 | — |
| Mica10x8637…9657 | No | 272 | 92.0¢ | $259 | — |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | No | 261 | 92.7¢ | $248 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 876 bets |
| PaddyAlpha0x9ad0…bf3d | No | 260 | 93.4¢ | $247 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 3,063 bets |
| 0x275c…6090 | No | 237 | 93.6¢ | $226 | — |
| FatCat050xb86a…c1d8 | Yes | 4,321 | 5.1¢ | $210 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 211 | 92.1¢ | $201 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,997 bets |
| Tony1080x7410…f96f | No | 194 | 96.0¢ | $185 | Break-even+$0.55 per $100 · 308 bets |
| 0x0dc5…a303 | Yes | 3,477 | 7.2¢ | $169 | — |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | Yes | 3,207 | 7.0¢ | $156 | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,103 bets |
| ScientiaRex0x8f0b…8be2 | No | 149 | 89.3¢ | $142 | — |
| aosdijf0x1963…9bfd | Yes | 2,500 | 5.0¢ | $121 | Positive+$11.72 per $100 · 577 bets |
| BeN0x668d…97d2 | No | 117 | 91.3¢ | $111 | Proven+$2.61 per $100 · 2,217 bets |
| TimeTraveler0x51fd…4272 | Yes | 2,232 | 8.2¢ | $108 | Positive+$6.45 per $100 · 7,374 bets |
| S8880x0711…f03c | No | 114 | 84.8¢ | $108 | Proven+$9.08 per $100 · 9,048 bets |
| 0xc572…66fd | No | 112 | 89.0¢ | $107 | — |
| JesseHo13320x4a54…db64 | No | 106 | 87.0¢ | $101 | — |
| WeJustBettin0xf6c6…7d80 | No | 104 | 96.0¢ | $99 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 735 bets |
| JPLP0x0e32…535b | No | 100 | 86.0¢ | $95 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 1,597 bets |
| Milin-dc0x2762…2cf6 | No | 100 | 91.9¢ | $95 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 1,658 bets |
| NellyDora0xca97…5409 | No | 100 | 96.0¢ | $95 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 1,328 bets |
| tttt1230xdf40…38b8 | No | 81 | 88.5¢ | $77 | Positive+$2.19 per $100 · 3,002 bets |
| 0x57f1…b144 | No | 79 | 95.0¢ | $75 | — |
| cryptoalexk0x23df…c601 | Yes | 1,386 | 5.5¢ | $67 | — |
| taerv5340x30f9…fbfc | No | 69 | 65.9¢ | $66 | Proven+$32.96 per $100 · 2,276 bets |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | No | 68 | 89.0¢ | $65 | Positive+$1.12 per $100 · 22,053 bets |
| timberfox0xd3ae…5b63 | Yes | 1,280 | 7.6¢ | $62 | — |
| kohalacoastgabe0x63e3…f341 | Yes | 1,277 | 7.8¢ | $62 | Losing−$5.29 per $100 · 292 bets |
| viktoryiaangele0x0814…1f30 | No | 61 | 95.0¢ | $58 | — |
| tiredstudent4450x1e77…712e | No | 61 | 95.0¢ | $58 | New19 settled bets |
| kazuma4980x9374…91ff | No | 60 | 95.0¢ | $57 | — |
| ED999990xdf17…97d1 | No | 60 | 91.5¢ | $57 | Proven+$3.47 per $100 · 1,719 bets |
| lakostem0x3ff5…b190 | No | 56 | 90.0¢ | $53 | — |
| sheeple90000x2efb…d22e | No | 55 | 96.0¢ | $52 | — |
| 0x8610…7276 | Yes | 1,017 | 9.0¢ | $49 | — |
| gods-eye0x1086…27d2 | Yes | 1,000 | 5.0¢ | $49 | New67 settled bets |
| TheOne7770x2b62…438c | No | 50 | 82.0¢ | $48 | Proven+$19.40 per $100 · 1,430 bets |
| lacuna-m10x307f…c327 | Yes | 819 | 12.2¢ | $40 | Losing−$24.63 per $100 · 104 bets |
| 0x7c61…f10d | Yes | 556 | 9.0¢ | $27 | — |
| Jep-G0x993c…6787 | Yes | 500 | 5.0¢ | $24 | Proven+$2.34 per $100 · 2,215 bets |
| McTraxerr0x4dec…8c73 | Yes | 500 | 6.0¢ | $24 | — |
| 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | 498 | 6.0¢ | $24 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| 0x6dc2…2f88 | Yes | 448 | 10.3¢ | $22 | — |
| Jackcz0x24ef…a05b | Yes | 222 | 9.0¢ | $11 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 204 | 11.8¢ | $10 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| 9df0x4c9e…190b | Yes | 200 | 5.4¢ | $10 | Positive+$16.62 per $100 · 280 bets |
| 0x1c33…ab72 | Yes | 200 | 10.0¢ | $10 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 113 bets |
| Hermnann0x3285…f63d | Yes | 200 | 5.0¢ | $10 | New84 settled bets |
| Oleg19700x65d9…d955 | Yes | 200 | 5.0¢ | $10 | — |
| MatrimChauton0x983a…9e29 | Yes | 200 | 5.0¢ | $10 | — |
| THb990xea4a…598f | Yes | 182 | 11.0¢ | $9 | — |
| kysonccc0x8327…9fff | Yes | 167 | 18.0¢ | $8 | — |
| Mrjones0070x7133…b29c | Yes | 167 | 6.0¢ | $8 | — |
| Potpuri0xd083…fe53 | Yes | 144 | 9.0¢ | $7 | — |
| thearchitect1000x2f27…9834 | Yes | 129 | 14.0¢ | $6 | — |
| WanderingImpulse0x32f0…7f90 | Yes | 119 | 12.6¢ | $6 | Losing−$29.82 per $100 · 550 bets |
| 0xa809…70d6 | Yes | 111 | 9.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Alternates0x427c…17b7 | Yes | 100 | 6.0¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 358 bets |
| The-one-268760x7b86…3a4b | Yes | 100 | 5.0¢ | $5 | — |
| serlux0xc3f5…a1ad | Yes | 100 | 5.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x4542…2637 | Yes | 100 | 6.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x36aa…d9d4 | Yes | 93 | 16.2¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x2903…e768 | Yes | 83 | 6.0¢ | $4 | New0 settled bets |
| 0x9e6b…b20a | Yes | 83 | 9.7¢ | $4 | — |
| El-Z0x62b3…78ac | Yes | 79 | 18.9¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xc1b3…3764 | Yes | 77 | 13.0¢ | $4 | — |
| rsabahor0xfb74…ae29 | Yes | 64 | 8.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Bull690x7313…9915 | Yes | 63 | 16.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Fniii0x629e…6be4 | Yes | 62 | 13.2¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xc85d…c42a | Yes | 57 | 7.3¢ | $3 | — |
| Agbalagba0x1773…f2f2 | Yes | 56 | 18.0¢ | $3 | — |
| UH9xRmfjOljDcRJuvxEr50x2969…2a69 | Yes | 56 | 9.0¢ | $3 | — |
| gavinl05050xdf28…5d77 | Yes | 56 | 9.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x6a8c…1a60 | Yes | 50 | 16.0¢ | $2 | — |
| KisilovKO0x693a…0ed9 | Yes | 49 | 30.4¢ | $2 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.