Market · 3 of 4 outcomes
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 19:32 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No | 31,967 | 82.9¢ | $30.3K | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,393 bets |
| Alpheo0x7eaa…fd24 | No | 14,286 | 85.0¢ | $13.5K | New |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Everestpredictions0xceca…3f67 | No | 10,280 | 86.7¢ | $9.73K | Break-even−$0.24 per $100 · 817 bets |
| GoingGangrene0xd34f…1c95 | No | 4,352 | 92.3¢ | $4.12K | — |
| endangered.species0xbc1d…e2ff | No | 3,389 | 91.0¢ | $3.21K | New23 settled bets |
| GOLADS960x894d…04e2 | No | 3,000 | 89.3¢ | $2.84K | New56 settled bets |
| AlAhmeda0x9d73…216b | No | 1,700 | 85.6¢ | $1.61K | Losing−$1.99 per $100 · 4,949 bets |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | Yes | 26,575 | 10.1¢ | $1.41K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,103 bets |
| nonkenny900x5cd5…ac33 | No | 1,324 | 85.1¢ | $1.25K | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 8,971 bets |
| chickendinner690x6cb2…7d7f | No | 1,315 | 75.3¢ | $1.25K | — |
| 50388131850x453a…81d2 | Yes | 22,855 | 12.7¢ | $1.21K | Proven+$17.49 per $100 · 140 bets |
| 0x7678…22a3 | No | 1,062 | 90.9¢ | $1.01K | Proven+$10.57 per $100 · 122 bets |
| Inchoroi0x058f…4883 | No | 980 | 88.4¢ | $928 | Losing−$1.90 per $100 · 300 bets |
| Johndorito0x189d…981b | No | 952 | 85.5¢ | $901 | — |
| PavtheGreat0x048a…9be4 | No | 946 | 80.4¢ | $896 | Losing−$1.76 per $100 · 325 bets |
| RogerFed0xe958…66b7 | No | 917 | 87.8¢ | $869 | — |
| steiner10485960x0185…f9d7 | No | 797 | 87.9¢ | $755 | — |
| buoys0x7e35…1a6c | No | 720 | 70.8¢ | $682 | Positive+$11.50 per $100 · 2,033 bets |
| BillyBoy940x94b0…9d34 | No | 549 | 91.0¢ | $520 | Positive+$1.21 per $100 · 515 bets |
| ToTheWindow0xdf90…41f0 | No | 504 | 87.3¢ | $477 | — |
| SuAlteza0x1c86…c427 | No | 500 | 89.0¢ | $473 | Positive+$1.38 per $100 · 819 bets |
| Arman20x9453…1a48 | Yes | 8,138 | 12.6¢ | $431 | — |
| 0xff7c…b233 | No | 446 | 77.8¢ | $423 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| bakayo33 - 99340x343d…cd2e | No | 396 | 85.9¢ | $375 | Positive+$2.02 per $100 · 982 bets |
| AlphaBetaGamma23570x5652…00c9 | Yes | 7,000 | 13.0¢ | $371 | Proven+$5.59 per $100 · 870 bets |
| Idapro5550xc97f…b64e | No | 300 | 87.0¢ | $284 | — |
| kanhaoleaha0xd98a…4db0 | No | 250 | 76.0¢ | $237 | — |
| F00Fi0x12ce…928f | No | 220 | 80.0¢ | $208 | Proven+$4.94 per $100 · 254 bets |
| Phenium0xe9f2…ddd0 | Yes | 3,600 | 20.7¢ | $191 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 623 bets |
| melonmanm0x0787…0ca3 | No | 200 | 90.0¢ | $189 | Proven+$7.03 per $100 · 1,581 bets |
| Compound-570xfd47…805a | No | 184 | 90.4¢ | $174 | — |
| 0xc341…9a9f | No | 161 | 93.0¢ | $153 | — |
| radek440x153b…65d8 | No | 144 | 89.0¢ | $136 | Losing−$2.78 per $100 · 371 bets |
| spacexstar0xb06c…b574 | No | 139 | 88.7¢ | $131 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 614 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 2,116 | 17.7¢ | $112 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,293 bets |
| W.A.Pa.Mh.0xaba4…801b | No | 115 | 83.0¢ | $109 | — |
| PConsensus0x92a3…cf0a | No | 112 | 89.0¢ | $106 | — |
| jiffyjoker668880x162e…7cf3 | No | 110 | 87.9¢ | $104 | Losing−$2.00 per $100 · 548 bets |
| knyzh0xbada…fe22 | No | 110 | 91.0¢ | $104 | — |
| MKB0x1d77…fdbe | No | 100 | 88.0¢ | $95 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 1,447 bets |
| RV1130x2d29…f683 | No | 100 | 89.0¢ | $95 | Break-even−$0.61 per $100 · 1,310 bets |
| Porx0xa0bc…d428 | No | 100 | 77.0¢ | $95 | Proven+$7.58 per $100 · 3,059 bets |
| VechnoMolodoyy0xa3f6…1326 | No | 100 | 86.0¢ | $95 | — |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | No | 100 | 78.0¢ | $95 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| Mirotadze0xb462…fc89 | No | 100 | 91.0¢ | $95 | — |
| lexet0xbec4…b075 | No | 100 | 90.0¢ | $95 | — |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | No | 100 | 76.0¢ | $95 | — |
| 1sadd0xec15…7a93 | No | 100 | 90.0¢ | $95 | — |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | No | 100 | 78.0¢ | $95 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 872 bets |
| 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e050xe234…304a | Yes | 1,721 | 13.7¢ | $91 | Positive+$1.66 per $100 · 636 bets |
| Malganis0x4bf4…7021 | Yes | 1,456 | 24.6¢ | $77 | Break-even+$0.33 per $100 · 3,303 bets |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 1,385 | 4.1¢ | $73 | Positive+$1.38 per $100 · 4,796 bets |
| variant1.meta0xdf59…deb0 | Yes | 1,300 | 12.0¢ | $69 | — |
| v4l20x1237…d447 | Yes | 990 | 10.0¢ | $52 | — |
| Cungly0x5ccf…79d7 | Yes | 971 | 24.0¢ | $51 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 1,627 bets |
| edge9990xab44…c994 | No | 50 | 63.9¢ | $47 | — |
| hp2102100x2ef8…b0f4 | No | 47 | 77.0¢ | $45 | Losing−$1.53 per $100 · 351 bets |
| EconProf0x2811…6818 | No | 45 | 88.0¢ | $43 | Positive+$1.77 per $100 · 519 bets |
| enrico-vasaio0xcc79…1c2a | Yes | 800 | 19.6¢ | $42 | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,143 bets |
| DrNee0xba62…58e9 | No | 40 | 76.0¢ | $38 | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 331 bets |
| garbagefriends0xc5bd…ceaa | No | 33 | 75.4¢ | $32 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 1,711 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 476 | 12.2¢ | $25 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,927 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 25 | 88.0¢ | $23 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 416 | 5.6¢ | $22 | Losing−$2.56 per $100 · 124,139 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 404 | 7.2¢ | $21 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| taerv5340x30f9…fbfc | Yes | 352 | 5.5¢ | $19 | Proven+$32.96 per $100 · 2,276 bets |
| Diplopia20x272c…7f07 | Yes | 300 | 18.4¢ | $16 | Positive+$1.24 per $100 · 811 bets |
| rocky420020x1e52…91d6 | Yes | 299 | 12.0¢ | $16 | — |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 288 | 2.0¢ | $15 | Positive+$42.72 per $100 · 2,781 bets |
| Jep-G0x993c…6787 | Yes | 250 | 13.9¢ | $13 | Proven+$2.34 per $100 · 2,215 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 200 | 20.0¢ | $11 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| ifyouloveme0x5a0d…fa97 | Yes | 200 | 25.0¢ | $11 | Proven+$3.17 per $100 · 563 bets |
| petruccci0x9370…9e88 | Yes | 200 | 19.0¢ | $11 | — |
| WaterFloww0x5040…96cf | Yes | 200 | 10.5¢ | $11 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 123 | 18.1¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,956 bets |
| buyrightbake0x57cd…82ac | Yes | 120 | 10.0¢ | $6 | Proven+$3.56 per $100 · 653 bets |
| 0xc9a90290332fa3ea9885f1e2ce466e6baf0c2930xb8a9…2948 | Yes | 100 | 13.0¢ | $5 | — |
| alivedeer0xe0c5…913c | Yes | 100 | 7.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$12.71 per $100 · 427 bets |
| Xomaj190x1cef…759e | Yes | 97 | 5.5¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x0a4d…79f5 | Yes | 74 | 13.5¢ | $4 | — |
| johnnath12220x4b28…15df | Yes | 74 | 14.0¢ | $4 | Positive+$3.09 per $100 · 1,177 bets |
| romanew-crypto0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | 70 | 5.0¢ | $4 | — |
| Leclerc040x38cf…d885 | Yes | 63 | 15.8¢ | $3 | Losing−$4.36 per $100 · 1,449 bets |
| lassteyes0x85f6…a439 | Yes | 56 | 9.0¢ | $3 | — |
| ItaiB0x82b6…5a2e | Yes | 50 | 24.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Naner00x2681…adec | Yes | 48 | 19.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x7ed3…bffc | Yes | 42 | 24.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x38d5…063c | Yes | 40 | 46.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.99 per $100 · 3,172 bets |
| Danka810x19ac…afc4 | Yes | 38 | 29.0¢ | $2 | — |
| ClearMove0xd7f1…73cd | Yes | 36 | 19.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$12.07 per $100 · 1,186 bets |
| lulu2130xa25e…2dd7 | Yes | 33 | 12.0¢ | $2 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 33 | 5.7¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| 0x0aa0…04a3 | Yes | 29 | 3.4¢ | $2 | — |
| nanioto0x53b3…7f9a | Yes | 27 | 44.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 25 | 4.3¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Zinner0xee67…a389 | Yes | 22 | 23.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Slackjaw0x6236…6881 | Yes | 20 | 27.0¢ | $1 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 78 shares each side · Show
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