Market · 2 of 4 outcomes
Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 17:26 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buoys0x7e35…1a6c | No | 588 | 76.6¢ | $485 | Positive+$11.50 per $100 · 2,033 bets |
| sdfsdfsdfsdf20x321e…9292 | No | 400 | 87.0¢ | $330 | Losing−$7.75 per $100 · 16,321 bets |
| Everestpredictions0xceca…3f67 | No | 367 | 85.1¢ | $302 | Break-even−$0.24 per $100 · 817 bets |
| longdated-poli0x167a…91d5 | No | 297 | 86.0¢ | $245 | Losing−$3.90 per $100 · 4,676 bets |
| Raskell0xb37a…f1b1 | Yes | 1,384 | 13.0¢ | $242 | — |
| RogerFed0xe958…66b7 | No | 290 | 74.3¢ | $239 | — |
| kanhaoleaha0xd98a…4db0 | No | 200 | 86.0¢ | $165 | — |
| AiBird0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | 818 | 20.2¢ | $143 | Positive+$3.43 per $100 · 14,399 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 162 | 86.0¢ | $134 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,993 bets |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | No | 100 | 84.0¢ | $83 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| PABLOESCOBAR250x6b49…2e46 | No | 97 | 80.0¢ | $80 | Losing−$1.82 per $100 · 615 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 80 | 85.2¢ | $66 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| randomWalkingShrimp0x30d1…4525 | Yes | 317 | 14.0¢ | $55 | Proven+$8.22 per $100 · 1,875 bets |
| bakayo33 - 99340x343d…cd2e | No | 60 | 86.0¢ | $50 | Positive+$2.02 per $100 · 982 bets |
| Malganis0x4bf4…7021 | No | 50 | 87.0¢ | $41 | Break-even+$0.33 per $100 · 3,303 bets |
| chaosj880xca12…ea03 | No | 45 | 76.4¢ | $37 | Proven+$2.86 per $100 · 3,013 bets |
| Diplopia20x272c…7f07 | Yes | 200 | 14.0¢ | $35 | Positive+$1.24 per $100 · 811 bets |
| Klanto0x98e3…9208 | No | 25 | 79.8¢ | $21 | — |
| trashtier0x7df6…ac3b | No | 20 | 76.0¢ | $17 | Positive+$1.40 per $100 · 6,509 bets |
| M.elena6780xb5d8…af42 | No | 19 | 79.1¢ | $15 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 14 | 85.0¢ | $11 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,955 bets |
| mmtrading0x5a0c…9db8 | No | 13 | 77.0¢ | $11 | Break-even−$0.32 per $100 · 14,879 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 51 | 20.0¢ | $9 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 48 | 20.1¢ | $8 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 10 | 82.0¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| Paoul19920x3991…3d0f | No | 10 | 80.0¢ | $8 | — |
| prov1230xf143…4ef2 | No | 10 | 87.0¢ | $8 | — |
| winnertakeitall0xa960…aef8 | No | 8 | 78.5¢ | $6 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 20.0¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| doudouc0x74aa…2c3f | No | 6 | 76.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xa37b…e283 | No | 6 | 86.0¢ | $5 | — |
| afk020xf06d…d823 | No | 5 | 80.4¢ | $4 | — |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | No | 4 | 79.0¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 14 | 20.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.58 per $100 · 123,998 bets |
| 0x7231…415a | Yes | 10 | 18.0¢ | $2 | New9 settled bets |
| congmqian-gendan0x9e16…7a42 | Yes | 8 | 15.0¢ | $1 | — |
| random-random1230xa1cc…fa62 | Yes | 7 | 15.0¢ | $1 | — |
| rubby13370x9c18…f3a2 | No | 1 | 85.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | No | 1 | 87.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.62 per $100 · 14,498 bets |
| kor-and-m0x0b14…f1f5 | No | 0 | 79.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.