Market · 1 of 4 outcomes
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:41 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
11 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOLADS960x894d…04e2 | No | 3,431 | 72.8¢ | $2.56K | New56 settled bets |
| endangered.species0xbc1d…e2ff | No | 2,423 | 75.0¢ | $1.81K | New23 settled bets |
| RogerFed0xe958…66b7 | No | 2,250 | 73.2¢ | $1.68K | — |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | No | 1,941 | 71.2¢ | $1.45K | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| buoys0x7e35…1a6c | No | 1,810 | 70.0¢ | $1.35K | Positive+$11.50 per $100 · 2,033 bets |
| BigRabbit0xeb22…808a | Yes | 5,104 | 26.0¢ | $1.3K | Positive+$4.46 per $100 · 2,227 bets |
| chickendinner690x6cb2…7d7f | No | 1,714 | 61.7¢ | $1.28K | — |
| Phenium0xe9f2…ddd0 | Yes | 4,827 | 29.6¢ | $1.23K | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 623 bets |
| Inchoroi0x058f…4883 | No | 1,400 | 72.6¢ | $1.04K | Losing−$1.90 per $100 · 300 bets |
| Brummer0x370a…baac | No | 1,257 | 71.5¢ | $937 | — |
| zhaoyk0xcc03…d5c0 | Yes | 3,645 | 31.6¢ | $929 | New28 settled bets |
| AnonDaveDave0x98bc…a1da | No | 1,192 | 70.6¢ | $888 | — |
| radek440x153b…65d8 | No | 924 | 70.4¢ | $688 | Losing−$2.78 per $100 · 371 bets |
| PavtheGreat0x048a…9be4 | No | 842 | 74.3¢ | $627 | Losing−$1.76 per $100 · 325 bets |
| v4l20x1237…d447 | Yes | 2,404 | 36.8¢ | $613 | — |
| jilm0xe03d…189a | No | 800 | 75.0¢ | $596 | — |
| 0xd056…f1be | No | 795 | 73.0¢ | $592 | Positive+$2.36 per $100 · 1,760 bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | No | 600 | 65.8¢ | $447 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,268 bets |
| winnnar0x5daf…63f3 | No | 561 | 71.9¢ | $418 | New51 settled bets |
| Raskell0xb37a…f1b1 | Yes | 1,622 | 23.9¢ | $414 | — |
| paddaa0x60a9…5a71 | No | 552 | 66.1¢ | $411 | Proven+$5.21 per $100 · 2,232 bets |
| Rizk0x74f7…77c3 | No | 500 | 70.0¢ | $373 | Losing−$10.39 per $100 · 194 bets |
| steiner10485960x0185…f9d7 | No | 424 | 75.0¢ | $316 | — |
| bakayo33 - 99340x343d…cd2e | No | 390 | 72.5¢ | $290 | Positive+$2.02 per $100 · 982 bets |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | Yes | 1,036 | 26.4¢ | $264 | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,103 bets |
| 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | 1,022 | 29.6¢ | $261 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | Yes | 931 | 36.8¢ | $237 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 19,896 bets |
| 50388131850x453a…81d2 | Yes | 878 | 29.0¢ | $224 | Proven+$17.49 per $100 · 140 bets |
| ansatz0x5fa4…cd4e | No | 300 | 76.0¢ | $224 | Positive+$1.24 per $100 · 320 bets |
| kanhaoleaha0xd98a…4db0 | No | 300 | 73.0¢ | $224 | — |
| henos0x7a86…f8e8 | Yes | 849 | 25.1¢ | $217 | Proven+$4.90 per $100 · 455 bets |
| Malganis0x4bf4…7021 | Yes | 823 | 31.9¢ | $210 | Break-even+$0.33 per $100 · 3,303 bets |
| KrdRL0x63c1…70d7 | No | 266 | 75.2¢ | $198 | Proven+$6.14 per $100 · 108 bets |
| Jep-G0x993c…6787 | Yes | 750 | 28.8¢ | $191 | Proven+$2.34 per $100 · 2,215 bets |
| Dondigidin0x07b9…0fbb | No | 241 | 68.0¢ | $180 | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 991 bets |
| melonmanm0x0787…0ca3 | No | 230 | 74.1¢ | $171 | Proven+$7.03 per $100 · 1,581 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 230 | 72.2¢ | $171 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,881 bets |
| Mst-br0xdda5…c82a | No | 203 | 65.0¢ | $151 | — |
| Konfucious0xac76…9359 | No | 200 | 71.4¢ | $149 | — |
| GodRama0x8b72…6dbe | Yes | 545 | 24.7¢ | $139 | Positive+$4.43 per $100 · 3,463 bets |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | No | 170 | 67.2¢ | $127 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| spacexstar0xb06c…b574 | Yes | 471 | 25.0¢ | $120 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 614 bets |
| Dapsy0x73d2…f9b7 | No | 150 | 74.0¢ | $112 | — |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | Yes | 419 | 22.3¢ | $107 | Losing−$7.02 per $100 · 15,941 bets |
| Idapro5550xc97f…b64e | No | 130 | 74.4¢ | $97 | — |
| F00Fi0x12ce…928f | No | 116 | 67.4¢ | $86 | Proven+$4.94 per $100 · 254 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 113 | 68.1¢ | $84 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,945 bets |
| rocky420020x1e52…91d6 | Yes | 293 | 28.5¢ | $75 | — |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | No | 100 | 68.0¢ | $74 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 872 bets |
| hp2102100x2ef8…b0f4 | Yes | 285 | 29.3¢ | $73 | Losing−$1.53 per $100 · 351 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 91 | 55.3¢ | $68 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,282 bets |
| wqfqwfs0x6fe9…823e | No | 90 | 75.0¢ | $67 | — |
| yikaiz0xe258…d084 | Yes | 206 | 33.5¢ | $52 | New15 settled bets |
| PConsensus0x92a3…cf0a | No | 63 | 79.0¢ | $47 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 63 | 71.8¢ | $47 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| mamboNB50x1c00…7af4 | No | 58 | 45.0¢ | $43 | — |
| 0xd53e…0b73 | No | 56 | 62.3¢ | $42 | — |
| PABLOESCOBAR250x6b49…2e46 | No | 56 | 75.0¢ | $42 | Losing−$1.82 per $100 · 615 bets |
| 0x8c94…2e06 | No | 53 | 73.0¢ | $40 | — |
| Mrhotmail0xbf32…0920 | Yes | 153 | 13.1¢ | $39 | — |
| TyphoonStruggle0x49f4…a7c9 | Yes | 150 | 28.3¢ | $38 | — |
| WaterFloww0x5040…96cf | Yes | 150 | 29.7¢ | $38 | — |
| MKB0x1d77…fdbe | No | 50 | 72.0¢ | $37 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 1,447 bets |
| gotonetry330x66e0…e8f0 | No | 50 | 73.0¢ | $37 | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 729 bets |
| 0x7faa…994e | No | 50 | 75.0¢ | $37 | — |
| 0opj4kuu4xb20x3500…07f0 | No | 47 | 72.1¢ | $35 | Losing−$12.60 per $100 · 4,915 bets |
| lassteyes0x85f6…a439 | Yes | 135 | 33.2¢ | $35 | — |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 120 | 30.0¢ | $31 | — |
| DrNee0xba62…58e9 | No | 40 | 68.0¢ | $30 | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 331 bets |
| Fantaman0x1d84…7cff | No | 38 | 65.0¢ | $29 | — |
| rexcom0xde09…dbde | Yes | 100 | 24.0¢ | $26 | — |
| WhiteRiceHoldCo0xeb03…5d15 | Yes | 100 | 28.0¢ | $26 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 94 | 26.0¢ | $24 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,059 bets |
| qizhan0xac38…c04f | No | 31 | 65.0¢ | $23 | New60 settled bets |
| garbagefriends0xc5bd…ceaa | No | 30 | 64.7¢ | $22 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 1,711 bets |
| Kastellvalen0xe5c2…6b76 | No | 25 | 75.0¢ | $19 | — |
| Jooble0x1167…d1cd | Yes | 69 | 29.0¢ | $18 | — |
| libanorix0x25eb…0506 | Yes | 50 | 25.0¢ | $13 | — |
| edge9990xab44…c994 | Yes | 50 | 39.0¢ | $13 | — |
| chaosj880xca12…ea03 | Yes | 45 | 26.0¢ | $11 | Proven+$2.86 per $100 · 3,013 bets |
| 0x38d5…063c | Yes | 40 | 61.0¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.99 per $100 · 3,172 bets |
| mmtrading0x5a0c…9db8 | Yes | 37 | 26.0¢ | $9 | Break-even−$0.32 per $100 · 14,879 bets |
| taerv5340x30f9…fbfc | Yes | 32 | 24.0¢ | $8 | Proven+$32.96 per $100 · 2,276 bets |
| Danka810x19ac…afc4 | Yes | 32 | 26.0¢ | $8 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 30.0¢ | $8 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 30 | 25.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$2.59 per $100 · 123,775 bets |
| Slackjaw0x6236…6881 | Yes | 20 | 42.0¢ | $5 | — |
| sanchez.0x74cf…4d07 | Yes | 18 | 28.0¢ | $5 | — |
| winnertakeitall0xa960…aef8 | Yes | 17 | 26.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xa39e…26da | Yes | 16 | 25.5¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x377f…e8f9 | Yes | 15 | 26.4¢ | $4 | Proven+$7.36 per $100 · 217 bets |
| 0xbeef…620e | Yes | 15 | 24.9¢ | $4 | — |
| gaut63750x5874…05f7 | Yes | 10 | 28.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$3.88 per $100 · 2,453 bets |
| lll918dd0x6250…f49a | Yes | 10 | 28.0¢ | $3 | Proven+$2.63 per $100 · 3,025 bets |
| afk020xf06d…d823 | Yes | 10 | 26.1¢ | $3 | — |
| sm-020x7a55…9e6b | Yes | 6 | 33.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xcca3…c872 | Yes | 6 | 23.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xcc4c…50ae | Yes | 4 | 24.2¢ | $1 | — |
| PavelIslimnitsky0xb01e…9221 | Yes | 4 | 28.0¢ | $1 | — |
| olp10xf855…12d4 | Yes | 4 | 28.0¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.