Market · 6 of 11 outcomes
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 78°F or higher on October 13?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:33 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x19aa…2dc4 | No | 9 | 99.6¢ | $9 | — |
| hello.670x2e3e…0f92 | Yes | 40 | 9.1¢ | $1 | Proven+$13.09 per $100 · 2,215 bets |
| 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | 40 | 9.1¢ | $1 | — |
| samalitopshen0x2ebb…35d7 | Yes | 24 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| antoniosporano0xcd15…b352 | Yes | 9 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| ISddI0x655c…4420 | Yes | 7 | 9.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.