Market · 1 of 11 outcomes
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 13?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| hello.670x2e3e…0f92 | Yes | 1,140 | 46.5¢ | $610 | Proven+$13.09 per $100 · 2,215 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 438 | 52.1¢ | $204 | — |
| JokerTheClown0x819d…07f1 | No | 361 | 48.7¢ | $168 | Proven+$23.82 per $100 · 12,229 bets |
| ooms0x96ac…075c | Yes | 111 | 47.4¢ | $59 | — |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | No | 100 | 57.0¢ | $47 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 36,281+ bets · updating |
| hfv0xe102…71df | No | 85 | 52.0¢ | $39 | — |
| 0xeb1b…87c0 | Yes | 50 | 46.0¢ | $27 | — |
| 5a82666suyuchen0x7076…d0d9 | Yes | 41 | 48.2¢ | $22 | — |
| sdssds0x813f…26ec | No | 40 | 54.0¢ | $19 | — |
| risto-test10xca84…6f8d | Yes | 32 | 47.9¢ | $17 | — |
| punch-the-macaque0x5c38…f194 | No | 30 | 54.0¢ | $14 | — |
| m7dk20xf73b…10bf | No | 28 | 52.0¢ | $13 | — |
| gaaaydoggggg0x486c…6799 | No | 26 | 48.0¢ | $12 | — |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | No | 26 | 46.9¢ | $12 | — |
| cvcvbvbvbMM0x14ad…69f5 | No | 25 | 54.0¢ | $12 | — |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | No | 25 | 53.5¢ | $12 | Losing−$4.17 per $100 · 8,350 bets |
| MoneyForSky060x7d64…07f8 | Yes | 20 | 47.2¢ | $11 | — |
| bm870xc847…33f6 | No | 22 | 53.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x5f3e…5337 | No | 21 | 53.0¢ | $10 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 20 | 52.8¢ | $9 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 44,379+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 20 | 55.0¢ | $9 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
| LuckyRabit0xeeeb…1157 | Yes | 15 | 47.2¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | 14 | 9.1¢ | $7 | — |
| alexbitok0x26d4…0a37 | No | 15 | 51.2¢ | $7 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 12 | 51.6¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| krbrv0xa1a4…7d62 | No | 13 | 46.2¢ | $6 | — |
| crabrave0xf15b…8c10 | No | 13 | 46.2¢ | $6 | — |
| kerbrerv0xfb65…2dfc | No | 13 | 47.2¢ | $6 | — |
| goosen8or0xf4d8…4c91 | Yes | 10 | 48.2¢ | $5 | — |
| huangfeng78900xdddd…10ea | Yes | 9 | 47.7¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xb0e7…39d2 | No | 9 | 53.2¢ | $4 | Losing−$6.32 per $100 · 23,021 bets |
| BullishBlizzard0x43bd…beda | Yes | 8 | 48.7¢ | $4 | — |
| dinolooser0x6199…a04b | Yes | 6 | 54.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x67e6…2210 | Yes | 5 | 49.2¢ | $3 | — |
| pgvr0x4a90…ac07 | Yes | 5 | 51.0¢ | $3 | — |
| shizuku10xbb1a…1e6d | No | 6 | 43.0¢ | $3 | — |
| d-m-l0x6939…e8c9 | No | 5 | 58.0¢ | $2 | — |
| laddu20x733e…d6da | No | 5 | 50.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xaf78…c915 | No | 5 | 51.2¢ | $2 | — |
| wildwake0xe13b…6747 | No | 5 | 45.0¢ | $2 | — |
| BIGASS20x07a8…5d73 | Yes | 4 | 48.2¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xd96a…d8ce | No | 5 | 53.2¢ | $2 | — |
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | No | 3 | 52.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 22578013920x6b1a…c7b1 | Yes | 2 | 49.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc516…8aa6 | Yes | 2 | 51.0¢ | $1 | — |
| farm-ville0x9315…42a2 | Yes | 2 | 48.0¢ | $1 | — |
| kukumaka0xfacc…4d07 | No | 2 | 52.0¢ | $1 | — |
| c0385634790x7e01…5d30 | No | 2 | 50.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Jyinxx0xdf6d…6fc2 | No | 2 | 50.2¢ | $1 | — |
| SHWABRA0xb798…37ca | No | 2 | 57.2¢ | $1 | — |
| zonglinwu0x5000…5f90 | No | 2 | 53.2¢ | $1 | — |
| razar-z0xab53…2250 | No | 2 | 54.2¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.