Market · 3 of 11 outcomes
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 13?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:16 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| hfv0xe102…71df | No | 166 | 87.0¢ | $137 | — |
| cleaningLady0x77f0…2b1f | No | 82 | 72.8¢ | $68 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Yes |
| 341 |
| 13.3¢ |
| $60 |
| — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 30 | 87.6¢ | $25 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| kukumaka0xfacc…4d07 | No | 20 | 83.0¢ | $17 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 20 | 87.0¢ | $17 | — |
| dinolooser0x6199…a04b | No | 20 | 88.0¢ | $17 | — |
| 5a82666suyuchen0x7076…d0d9 | No | 20 | 81.8¢ | $17 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 20 | 85.0¢ | $17 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| Poligarch0xb40e…7cc9 | No | 20 | 81.9¢ | $17 | Break-even+$0.94 per $100 · 60,365+ bets · updating |
| 0x16c7…22cd | No | 17 | 84.1¢ | $14 | — |
| archi545700x3646…ba5a | Yes | 71 | 16.5¢ | $12 | — |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | Yes | 58 | 21.5¢ | $10 | Losing−$4.17 per $100 · 8,350 bets |
| wwwoooeee0x019a…f36a | No | 11 | 72.0¢ | $9 | — |
| risto-test10xca84…6f8d | No | 10 | 81.8¢ | $8 | — |
| 0xeb1b…87c0 | No | 8 | 78.9¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | 35 | 9.6¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xaba7…85ed | No | 7 | 82.7¢ | $6 | — |
| crabrave0xf15b…8c10 | Yes | 25 | 17.7¢ | $4 | — |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | No | 5 | 87.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$3.37 per $100 · 13,656 bets |
| dandanteng0xd0fd…0ff3 | No | 5 | 82.7¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xde0a…004e | No | 5 | 80.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x9730x8d60…a7a5 | Yes | 24 | 15.8¢ | $4 | — |
| gaaaydoggggg0x486c…6799 | Yes | 22 | 28.0¢ | $4 | — |
| OnlyLuckNoBrain0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | 20 | 28.0¢ | $4 | — |
| DBCooperWeather0x0e5e…35c9 | Yes | 20 | 29.0¢ | $4 | — |
| sdssds0x813f…26ec | Yes | 20 | 19.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x89a3…0ebf | Yes | 20 | 18.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 2415325324320xce0b…b974 | Yes | 20 | 18.7¢ | $4 | — |
| PythiaWPD0xdd7a…7bfb | Yes | 14 | 12.5¢ | $2 | — |
| LuckyRabit0xeeeb…1157 | No | 2 | 81.8¢ | $2 | — |
| stephaneau0xc0cf…4f1b | Yes | 10 | 19.8¢ | $2 | — |
| goosen8or0xf4d8…4c91 | No | 2 | 81.8¢ | $2 | — |
| 23Stable0x314f…e463 | Yes | 8 | 22.0¢ | $1 | — |
| WGainfulInsight0xffd0…cd07 | Yes | 8 | 9.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x6cd0…3361 | No | 2 | 85.5¢ | $1 | — |
| BullishBlizzard0x43bd…beda | No | 2 | 82.6¢ | $1 | — |
| habash20x056f…36fa | Yes | 7 | 18.7¢ | $1 | — |
| huangfeng78900xdddd…10ea | No | 1 | 81.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x3e09…3501 | Yes | 5 | 20.8¢ | $1 | — |
| SoW-yiyi0xd1b0…7efc | Yes | 4 | 28.0¢ | $1 | — |
| JokerTheClown0x819d…07f1 | Yes | 4 | 29.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$21.46 per $100 · 12,441 bets |
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | Yes | 2 | 16.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.46 per $100 · 31,074 bets |
| physical-geographer0x957a…d6a6 | Yes | 2 | 19.0¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 0 | 82.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,460 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 88.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 10 shares each side · Show
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