29°C or higher

How these markets fit together

Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to 100¢ right now.

Decided by

The temperature range containing the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station on 13 Oct '26.§1

NOAA unavailable

If NOAA data is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET the day after the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table is used.§3

No data at all

If there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET the day after, the market resolves to the lowest bracket.§4

Erroneous data

If the source publishes data that is clearly erroneous or from technical error, the market may stay open up to seven calendar days (ET) for a correction.§9

Revisions cutoff

Revisions are considered until the first datapoint for the following date is published; after that, alterations are not considered.§12

Counted

The highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on 13 Oct '26.§2

Source

NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column at https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd.§2

Closes

Oct 13, 2026 · 12:00 UTC

Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.

• 22°C 96.6¢
• 23°C 2.8¢
• 24°C 0.3¢
• 19°C or below 0.1¢
• 20°C 0.1¢
• 21°C 0.1¢
• 25°C 0.1¢
• 26°C 0.1¢
• 27°C 0.1¢
• 28°C 0.1¢
• 29°C or higher 0.1¢

Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.