Market · 11 of 11 outcomes
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C or higher on October 13?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:15 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1DVSBSTD0xeb1d…59b0 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.02 per $100 · 30,009+ bets · updating |
| 0x65f7…8b98 | Yes | 224 | 9.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | 96 | 9.1¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 90 | 9.1¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 89 | 9.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,480 bets |
| 0x9b12…c2d5 | Yes | 63 | 9.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 62 | 9.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.69 per $100 · 57,107+ bets · updating |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 60 | 9.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,746 bets |
| ISddI0x655c…4420 | Yes | 20 | 9.1¢ | $0 | — |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | Yes | 11 | 9.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.76 per $100 · 26,465 bets |
| WGainfulInsight0xffd0…cd07 | Yes | 9 | 9.1¢ | $0 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 8 | 9.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.69 per $100 · 144,760+ bets · updating |
| gogogo-v30x8c17…9098 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| god837438940xe040…824f | Yes | 3 | 5.2¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.