Market · 9 of 11 outcomes
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 13?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 06:50 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| renfree0x7b47…902d | No | 82 | 99.9¢ | $82 | — |
| amr.goncalves0xe5eb…8033 | No | 60 | 99.6¢ | $60 | — |
| 0x4766…6e4b | No | 36 | 99.9¢ | $36 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 99.7¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,899+ bets · updating |
| 1DVSBSTD0xeb1d…59b0 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.02 per $100 · 30,009+ bets · updating |
| 0x9b12…c2d5 | No | 4 | 99.9¢ | $4 | — |
| weather-highest-strangle0xbe79…508b | No | 1 | 99.6¢ | $1 | — |
| hello.670x2e3e…0f92 | Yes | 354 | 9.1¢ | $0 | Proven+$12.86 per $100 · 2,699 bets |
| samalitopshen0x2ebb…35d7 | Yes | 333 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x65f7…8b98 | Yes | 224 | 9.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | 96 | 9.1¢ | $0 | — |
| PythiaWPD0xdd7a…7bfb | Yes | 80 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 79 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 69 | 9.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,177 bets |
| FuvahBot0x843d…89bc | Yes | 54 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| bhuumi0x937b…bfab | Yes | 50 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| RiskyMoolah0x8da3…c418 | Yes | 40 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 30 | 9.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.91 per $100 · 158,965+ bets · updating |
| testfor10x0400…f278 | Yes | 30 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 26 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,245 bets |
| antoniosporano0xcd15…b352 | Yes | 12 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 12 | 8.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 29,966+ bets · updating |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | Yes | 11 | 9.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.76 per $100 · 26,465 bets |
| danny420690x74d9…7d42 | Yes | 10 | 9.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb0e7…39d2 | Yes | 9 | 9.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.09 per $100 · 23,516 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 8 | 9.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 101,968 bets |
| ShipOfPetr0x15c5…4692 | Yes | 5 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x43cb…84df | Yes | 5 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.88 per $100 · 30,110 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 5 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| tamam-tamam0x6dc3…3472 | Yes | 1 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.