Market · 1 of 11 outcomes
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 13?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:47 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| hello.670x2e3e…0f92 | Yes | 904 | 43.2¢ | $402 | Proven+$13.09 per $100 · 2,215 bets |
| hfv0xe102…71df | No | 653 | 59.1¢ | $362 | — |
| physical-geographer0x957a…d6a6 | No | 604 | 57.0¢ | $335 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 297 | 39.0¢ | $132 | — |
| arehovbrow0xb209…ad88 | No | 186 | 59.7¢ | $103 | — |
| 0x65f7…8b98 | Yes | 130 | 39.7¢ | $58 | — |
| OutOfMemory0x5bae…ed25 | Yes | 129 | 44.2¢ | $57 | — |
| 0x9730x8d60…a7a5 | Yes | 68 | 39.7¢ | $30 | — |
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | No | 51 | 65.0¢ | $28 | Losing−$5.46 per $100 · 31,074 bets |
| sdssds0x813f…26ec | No | 40 | 64.0¢ | $22 | — |
| gaaaydoggggg0x486c…6799 | No | 38 | 59.0¢ | $21 | — |
| MoneyForSky060x7d64…07f8 | Yes | 44 | 44.2¢ | $19 | — |
| 5a82666suyuchen0x7076…d0d9 | Yes | 41 | 40.2¢ | $18 | — |
| punch-the-macaque0x5c38…f194 | No | 30 | 54.0¢ | $17 | — |
| AuspiciousWolf0x0e0e…2d75 | Yes | 33 | 42.7¢ | $15 | — |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | No | 20 | 59.0¢ | $11 | Losing−$4.17 per $100 · 8,350 bets |
| yueyueyn0xb87f…f7d4 | Yes | 20 | 41.7¢ | $9 | — |
| trademaster40000x5936…c2d6 | Yes | 20 | 45.0¢ | $9 | — |
| hgr10xab89…98e0 | No | 16 | 64.2¢ | $9 | — |
| JokerTheClown0x819d…07f1 | Yes | 18 | 38.2¢ | $8 | Proven+$23.82 per $100 · 12,229 bets |
| superpipp0xec62…9191 | Yes | 16 | 38.0¢ | $7 | — |
| BullishBlizzard0x43bd…beda | Yes | 16 | 47.7¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x6cd0…3361 | Yes | 14 | 48.1¢ | $6 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 10 | 58.2¢ | $6 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 44,379+ bets · updating |
| thesonofweather0x89b5…5aa7 | Yes | 12 | 43.1¢ | $5 | — |
| tetriary0x6fb4…76e9 | No | 9 | 64.2¢ | $5 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 11 | 39.0¢ | $5 | — |
| televisionloud0x6c1c…1ac2 | Yes | 9 | 45.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 1,838 bets |
| 0x3cef…23e0 | No | 7 | 62.7¢ | $4 | — |
| thunderfrog0x5a1a…2983 | No | 6 | 63.2¢ | $4 | — |
| Alcaraz20260x0172…4e84 | Yes | 8 | 38.5¢ | $4 | — |
| automatedai0x1ae8…6012 | No | 6 | 58.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xd96a…d8ce | No | 6 | 62.2¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x2706…c6be | Yes | 7 | 40.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x235d…0213 | No | 5 | 57.2¢ | $3 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 5 | 44.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| goosen8or0xf4d8…4c91 | Yes | 5 | 45.1¢ | $2 | — |
| SoW-yiyi0xd1b0…7efc | Yes | 3 | 33.1¢ | $1 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 3 | 45.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0x5670x6b4a…3647 | No | 2 | 51.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 2 | 50.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 30,060+ bets · updating |
| 0x208b…f13e | Yes | 2 | 46.2¢ | $1 | — |
| BIGASS20x07a8…5d73 | No | 2 | 63.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc824…5e0b | Yes | 2 | 44.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x496f…fa5d | No | 0 | 55.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | No | 0 | 66.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.62 per $100 · 14,498 bets |
| risto-test10xca84…6f8d | Yes | 0 | 44.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x89a3…0ebf | No | 0 | 65.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.