Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 78°F or higher on October 13?
Chance of Yes
Money on this event
11 outcomes
Room to trade
2¢ between buy and sell
Bet this week
Ends
Oct 13
tomorrow
Full rules
As written on Polymarket for “Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 78°F or higher on October 13?”.
§1This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Oct '26.
§2The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
§3This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
§4If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
§5In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
§6To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
§7This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:49 UTC. Not financial advice.
§8The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
§9Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
§10In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source.
§11If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution.
§12If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.
§13Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
How these markets fit together
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
The temperature range containing the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at Los Angeles International Airport Station on 13 Oct '26.§1
NOAA data unavailable
If NOAA data is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET the day after the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table is used.§4
No data at all
If there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET the day after, the market resolves to the lowest bracket.§5
Erroneous data
If the Resolution Source publishes clearly erroneous data from technical or operational error or unauthorized interference, the market may stay open up to…§10
Corrections and revisions
A corrected value published within that period is eligible; revisions are considered until the first data point for the following date is published.§11
Counted
The highest temperature reading on 13 Oct '26, from the "Temp" column for all times that day.§2
Source
NOAA, at https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax, using the Hourly Data shown by the "Show Hourly Data" button.§2
Closes
Oct 13, 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.