Market · 3 of 11 outcomes
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 13?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 22:32 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x65f7…8b98 | No | 186 | 78.0¢ | $159 | — |
| 0x5670x6b4a…3647 | No | 60 | 83.7¢ | $51 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| No |
| 56 |
| 79.5¢ |
| $48 |
| — |
| WrongBy1Degree0x0a0c…a853 | Yes | 258 | 18.2¢ | $37 | — |
| 5a82666suyuchen0x7076…d0d9 | No | 41 | 78.9¢ | $35 | — |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | No | 40 | 87.0¢ | $34 | Losing−$4.17 per $100 · 8,350 bets |
| gaaaydoggggg0x486c…6799 | No | 35 | 86.0¢ | $30 | — |
| kukumaka0xfacc…4d07 | No | 33 | 86.9¢ | $28 | — |
| PythiaWPD0xdd7a…7bfb | No | 32 | 87.0¢ | $27 | — |
| 0x8b8b…2512 | No | 27 | 87.4¢ | $23 | — |
| mashuuuu0x72da…a89e | Yes | 147 | 13.1¢ | $21 | — |
| Poligarch0xb40e…7cc9 | No | 25 | 85.9¢ | $21 | Break-even+$0.94 per $100 · 60,365+ bets · updating |
| Gryviybobo0xfb17…9f7a | Yes | 132 | 15.7¢ | $19 | — |
| dmttg0x132d…67cc | Yes | 125 | 12.8¢ | $18 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 20 | 88.0¢ | $17 | — |
| fregdf12f0x9711…8ee7 | No | 20 | 86.0¢ | $17 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 85.6¢ | $17 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,557 bets |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 20 | 87.4¢ | $17 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| yueyueyn0xb87f…f7d4 | No | 17 | 83.7¢ | $15 | — |
| JokerTheClown0x819d…07f1 | Yes | 100 | 25.0¢ | $14 | Proven+$21.46 per $100 · 12,441 bets |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | No | 10 | 86.0¢ | $9 | — |
| dingdingdangdang0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | 51 | 14.9¢ | $7 | — |
| krbrv0xa1a4…7d62 | Yes | 40 | 15.6¢ | $6 | — |
| crabrave0xf15b…8c10 | Yes | 38 | 16.7¢ | $5 | — |
| maxxizoro0x6d67…002a | No | 6 | 75.9¢ | $5 | — |
| d089580x01e5…49a3 | No | 6 | 84.7¢ | $5 | — |
| HODLStrong0x300d…978f | No | 5 | 87.6¢ | $4 | — |
| BEM270x853c…d854 | No | 5 | 84.0¢ | $4 | — |
| dandanteng0xd0fd…0ff3 | No | 5 | 85.6¢ | $4 | — |
| psyslo0x5f21…b1d2 | Yes | 29 | 19.8¢ | $4 | — |
| jianghai010x3738…ed32 | No | 5 | 84.7¢ | $4 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 21 | 20.7¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | 20 | 17.0¢ | $3 | — |
| kyz0eth0x9dde…5c80 | Yes | 20 | 24.7¢ | $3 | — |
| hunt1110xe833…d63b | Yes | 20 | 15.6¢ | $3 | — |
| hollow70x3f1d…56a3 | Yes | 18 | 13.0¢ | $3 | — |
| edgewarehouse0x7eeb…b6bd | Yes | 17 | 17.0¢ | $2 | — |
| vvvdvfnroi0x9f25…41cc | Yes | 13 | 17.5¢ | $2 | — |
| cdi.bot0x1dc6…9852 | Yes | 13 | 19.8¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x74d9…7d42 | Yes | 10 | 9.1¢ | $1 | — |
| bhuumi0x937b…bfab | Yes | 10 | 12.0¢ | $1 | — |
| lulac1234560x0727…d1f4 | Yes | 9 | 15.6¢ | $1 | — |
| stephaneau0xc0cf…4f1b | Yes | 6 | 12.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xSPBB0x29a5…a3c4 | Yes | 6 | 16.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x7b84…a108 | Yes | 5 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Alcaraz20260x0172…4e84 | No | 1 | 80.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xca75…0a64 | No | 1 | 85.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x9b12…c2d5 | No | 1 | 75.0¢ | $1 | — |
| dinolooser0x6199…a04b | No | 0 | 83.0¢ | $0 | — |
| hfv0xe102…71df | Yes | 2 | 21.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xec7c…d525 | Yes | 2 | 13.8¢ | $0 | — |
| danisiq0xf651…86b1 | No | 0 | 84.0¢ | $0 | — |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 11 shares each side · Show
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