Market
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 14:11 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sponsinator0x4fd5…c313 | Yes | 140 | 94.7¢ | $140 | — |
| 0xbb97…d6b9 | Yes | 10 | 97.5¢ | $10 | — |
| rocky420150x2c1a…42d8 | Yes | 2 | 42.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.77 per $100 · 9,653 bets |
| Lemarcan790xf143…8d10 | Yes | 1 | 97.6¢ | $1 | — |
| HotWeatherGirl0x1a11…e55d | Yes | 1 | 82.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | Yes | 0 | 47.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.62 per $100 · 14,498 bets |
| 0x5670x6b4a…3647 | Yes | 0 | 34.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | Yes | 0 | 94.4¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.01 per $100 · 20,221 bets |
| OutOfMemory0x5bae…ed25 | Yes | 0 | 51.5¢ | $0 | — |
| wolfprkm-10xd394…7e90 | Yes | 0 | 2.7¢ | $0 | — |
| CorkisGeldbeutel0x875e…e6b5 | Yes | 0 | 98.0¢ | $0 | — |
| plm160xc739…e55d | Yes | 0 | 95.8¢ | $0 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 0 | 8.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.92 per $100 · 159,404+ bets · updating |
| mgfvsgf2da0x10bd…8ff6 | No | 8,871 | 10.2¢ | $0 | — |
| radesign0x1325…c5ce | No | 3,290 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 1,093 | 39.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.90 per $100 · 32,781+ bets · updating |
| JokerTheClown0x819d…07f1 | No | 586 | 52.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$21.03 per $100 · 12,616 bets |
| cleaningLady0x77f0…2b1f | No | 259 | 59.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Rexc80xec87…43f9 | No | 108 | 97.1¢ | $0 | — |
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | No | 74 | 52.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.45 per $100 · 31,283 bets |
| Chasey-Lain0x7c72…825e | No | 61 | 99.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x38e2…2909 | No | 57 | 70.6¢ | $0 | — |
| giuselon0x33ab…149b | No | 51 | 59.7¢ | $0 | — |
| .Menthe0x9a94…d5f9 | No | 50 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| millerglenn0x8d80…50bb | No | 49 | 52.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x66688810x6354…a1c0 | No | 32 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| kukumaka0xfacc…4d07 | No | 30 | 51.6¢ | $0 | — |
| punch-the-macaque0x5c38…f194 | No | 30 | 54.0¢ | $0 | — |
| m7dk20xf73b…10bf | No | 28 | 53.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xfaf3…782c | No | 24 | 63.0¢ | $0 | — |
| eylonbsh40x4d1e…d96d | No | 24 | 47.2¢ | $0 | — |
| talllll0x144a…30d7 | No | 20 | 68.1¢ | $0 | — |
| alexbitok0x26d4…0a37 | No | 20 | 50.2¢ | $0 | — |
| hollow70x3f1d…56a3 | No | 20 | 62.0¢ | $0 | — |
| l0xxen0xf40f…c3bc | No | 20 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| mashuuuu0x72da…a89e | No | 18 | 62.2¢ | $0 | — |
| medchungus0xe5a9…5d3c | No | 15 | 95.0¢ | $0 | — |
| himken0x115a…9d44 | No | 15 | 1.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.79 per $100 · 2,180 bets |
| FreshlyManners0x4dba…3de8 | No | 12 | 72.2¢ | $0 | — |
| tetriary0x6fb4…76e9 | No | 12 | 49.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Slambo840xca78…07d3 | No | 11 | 48.2¢ | $0 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | No | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$875.31 per $100 · 26,627 bets |
| gjyjhikyjolk40x5e4d…06a5 | No | 10 | 4.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Upside-Down0xa447…fe26 | No | 10 | 63.0¢ | $0 | — |
| bhuumi0x937b…bfab | No | 10 | 66.5¢ | $0 | — |
| maxxizoro0x6d67…002a | No | 9 | 55.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Kakawhereugo0x19d7…7fc5 | No | 9 | 67.0¢ | $0 | — |
| bahn-cuon-baby0x5cdc…1f6b | No | 8 | 91.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb496…f564 | No | 6 | 54.2¢ | $0 | — |
| heyhighhui0x45ce…26be | No | 6 | 25.6¢ | $0 | — |
| cryptomartin19850x0ab0…6580 | No | 6 | 82.7¢ | $0 | — |
| gnezda0xfda1…ce66 | No | 6 | 55.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0746…9d4b | No | 5 | 58.2¢ | $0 | — |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | No | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| wildwake0xe13b…6747 | No | 5 | 45.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd96a…d8ce | No | 4 | 51.2¢ | $0 | — |
| matjones210x8e75…a4db | No | 4 | 55.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x546a…1988 | No | 2 | 50.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.85 per $100 · 60,628 bets |
| Poligarch0xb40e…7cc9 | No | 0 | 37.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 86,771+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.