Market · 1 of 11 outcomes
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 13?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:07 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| arehovbrow0xb209…ad88 | Yes | 177 | 29.2¢ | $76 | — |
| TunSahur0x95d3…6eff | Yes | 95 | 46.7¢ | $41 | — |
| 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | 94 | 26.5¢ | $40 | — |
| Bilberry0xbf13…b91a | No | 62 | 49.5¢ | $35 | Proven+$6.56 per $100 · 10,051 bets |
| sdssds0x813f…26ec | No | 36 | 72.0¢ | $20 | — |
| woff12365780xf41d…be3f | No | 33 | 53.1¢ | $19 | — |
| yellowhp0x716a…e885 | No | 30 | 69.2¢ | $17 | — |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | No | 26 | 46.9¢ | $15 | — |
| facaibot0xbdfa…4d29 | No | 25 | 70.4¢ | $14 | — |
| 0xde0a…004e | No | 20 | 70.0¢ | $11 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 20 | 72.5¢ | $11 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| Mikhail20260x4193…f60b | Yes | 26 | 38.4¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x4543…4182 | No | 17 | 59.7¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x6c80…c3dd | No | 17 | 58.0¢ | $10 | — |
| weatherwhat0xa016…67c2 | No | 16 | 58.4¢ | $9 | — |
| WGainfulInsight0xffd0…cd07 | Yes | 21 | 53.0¢ | $9 | — |
| iWasEnough0x2160…4c78 | No | 15 | 58.8¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 8,204 bets |
| yesok9990x55ea…ecfb | No | 15 | 63.0¢ | $9 | — |
| Descubra0x93dd…4ed5 | No | 14 | 44.0¢ | $8 | — |
| superpipp0xec62…9191 | Yes | 18 | 33.7¢ | $8 | — |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | No | 13 | 61.1¢ | $7 | Losing−$4.17 per $100 · 8,350 bets |
| jzy05460x1e42…0520 | No | 13 | 58.8¢ | $7 | — |
| kerbrerv0xfb65…2dfc | Yes | 17 | 28.0¢ | $7 | — |
| nexttwo0x1096…a162 | Yes | 13 | 40.4¢ | $6 | — |
| ArnalWeather0x8de1…664f | Yes | 11 | 44.0¢ | $5 | — |
| tetriary0x6fb4…76e9 | No | 8 | 70.5¢ | $5 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 8 | 71.0¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0x3c2a…12c2 | No | 7 | 55.0¢ | $4 | — |
| gaaaydoggggg0x486c…6799 | Yes | 8 | 41.0¢ | $4 | — |
| weather123450x8ed6…87d4 | Yes | 8 | 32.0¢ | $4 | — |
| ROWNDZERO0x0ba3…1972 | No | 6 | 72.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xde0d…76f8 | No | 6 | 54.6¢ | $3 | — |
| PythiaWPD0xdd7a…7bfb | Yes | 7 | 51.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x8842…dfa7 | No | 5 | 60.2¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x5670x6b4a…3647 | No | 5 | 55.0¢ | $3 | — |
| BTTC0x1fe0…9ecd | No | 5 | 72.0¢ | $3 | — |
| hunt1110xe833…d63b | Yes | 6 | 49.2¢ | $3 | — |
| gogogoog-vv0x82bf…9934 | Yes | 6 | 51.2¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.94 per $100 · 898 bets |
| o6igpzzrvtu70x531b…7879 | No | 4 | 52.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xaf78…c915 | No | 4 | 66.1¢ | $2 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 5 | 9.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,355 bets |
| risto-test10xca84…6f8d | Yes | 5 | 48.2¢ | $2 | — |
| SoW-yiyi0xd1b0…7efc | Yes | 3 | 31.0¢ | $1 | — |
| zxcursed1210x945a…a48c | Yes | 3 | 46.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.77 per $100 · 77,753+ bets · updating |
| 0xf43e…4a4e | No | 2 | 59.2¢ | $1 | — |
| kukumaka0xfacc…4d07 | Yes | 2 | 32.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | Yes | 2 | 55.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.62 per $100 · 14,498 bets |
| dinolooser0x6199…a04b | Yes | 1 | 45.6¢ | $1 | — |
| Poligarch0xb40e…7cc9 | Yes | 0 | 44.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.94 per $100 · 60,365+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.