Market · 4 of 11 outcomes
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on October 13?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:48 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oldstreet0x8345…dd93 | No | 134 | 99.1¢ | $133 | — |
| 0x9b62…042f | No | 10 | 99.5¢ | $10 | — |
| hello.670x2e3e…0f92 | Yes | 379 | 9.1¢ | $4 | Proven+$13.09 per $100 · 2,215 bets |
| testfor10x0400…f278 | Yes | 112 | 0.9¢ | $1 | — |
| PythiaWPD0xdd7a…7bfb | Yes | 57 | 0.7¢ | $1 | — |
| dp.0x1f07…7573 | Yes | 33 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Smallbet80x6eb4…d18e | Yes | 30 | 0.9¢ | $0 | — |
| DapperBlade52040xa15b…c4de | Yes | 30 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| zhengxm11030x99e6…3dbe | Yes | 30 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 36oldtiger0x16ce…eba1 | Yes | 30 | 0.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.82 per $100 · 9,421 bets |
| ISddI0x655c…4420 | Yes | 23 | 9.1¢ | $0 | — |
| zhengxm11290xcff4…cab0 | Yes | 20 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xaaab…b2fc | Yes | 17 | 0.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | 5 | 9.1¢ | $0 | — |
| nothing-to-lose0xd097…60b0 | Yes | 3 | 9.1¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 0 | 9.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,311 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.