Market · 3 of 11 outcomes
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 13?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:48 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| hello.670x2e3e…0f92 | No | 614 | 83.7¢ | $550 | Proven+$13.09 per $100 · 2,215 bets |
| hfv0xe102…71df | No | 549 | 81.0¢ | $491 | — |
| ooms0x96ac…075c | No | 337 | 83.0¢ | $301 | — |
| 0xde13…c2ca | No | 199 | 83.7¢ | $178 | — |
| 0x0f84…7fbe | No | 177 | 89.3¢ | $158 | — |
| physical-geographer0x957a…d6a6 | Yes | 1,490 | 17.0¢ | $156 | — |
| 0xeb1b…87c0 | No | 166 | 82.5¢ | $149 | — |
| lemon-orange0xa6db…b35e | No | 134 | 89.9¢ | $120 | — |
| rphcg0x0753…4200 | Yes | 877 | 19.2¢ | $92 | — |
| 0x208b…f13e | No | 99 | 85.0¢ | $89 | — |
| JokerTheClown0x819d…07f1 | No | 98 | 84.0¢ | $88 | Proven+$23.82 per $100 · 12,229 bets |
| arehovbrow0xb209…ad88 | Yes | 578 | 18.0¢ | $61 | — |
| LuckyRabit0xeeeb…1157 | No | 52 | 83.7¢ | $46 | — |
| 0x45e7…d77c | No | 50 | 84.0¢ | $45 | — |
| mrwolfandsheep0x16fa…8c03 | No | 50 | 83.7¢ | $44 | — |
| ImBadAtMath0x1e60…dd19 | No | 47 | 81.9¢ | $42 | — |
| 0x5f3e…5337 | No | 42 | 83.9¢ | $38 | — |
| BullishBlizzard0x43bd…beda | No | 33 | 84.5¢ | $29 | — |
| huangfeng78900xdddd…10ea | No | 25 | 83.7¢ | $22 | — |
| cryptoqan0n0xcc78…d202 | No | 24 | 81.8¢ | $22 | — |
| 5a82666suyuchen0x7076…d0d9 | No | 20 | 83.7¢ | $18 | — |
| MoneyForSky060x7d64…07f8 | No | 20 | 83.7¢ | $18 | — |
| 0x27f6…400b | No | 17 | 82.7¢ | $15 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 13 | 86.0¢ | $12 | — |
| risto-test10xca84…6f8d | No | 10 | 83.7¢ | $9 | — |
| Oldstreet0x8345…dd93 | No | 10 | 84.7¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x9b62…042f | No | 10 | 87.6¢ | $9 | — |
| 2415325324320xce0b…b974 | Yes | 85 | 12.8¢ | $9 | — |
| fabres040x9447…48d6 | Yes | 74 | 10.5¢ | $8 | — |
| predictForrest0x5c3a…58d3 | No | 7 | 82.0¢ | $6 | — |
| ClutchCapital0xe138…66c9 | No | 7 | 84.5¢ | $6 | — |
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | Yes | 51 | 18.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$5.46 per $100 · 31,074 bets |
| trade11120260xc6e2…06f4 | Yes | 50 | 11.0¢ | $5 | — |
| goodlucky880xe0a7…8872 | No | 6 | 89.5¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x67e6…2210 | No | 5 | 83.7¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x8D69d25D39Ecf72C5D2cE59cdDf10xcb22…6584 | No | 5 | 85.0¢ | $4 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 5 | 83.3¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| chajam0x461c…4825 | Yes | 42 | 13.7¢ | $4 | — |
| force220xe201…3f41 | No | 5 | 84.1¢ | $4 | — |
| m7dk20xf73b…10bf | Yes | 32 | 15.5¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x2706…c6be | Yes | 27 | 12.4¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x06da…af33 | Yes | 20 | 19.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | Yes | 20 | 11.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$4.17 per $100 · 8,350 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 20 | 12.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| 2a607c19A75d93b80x5927…ba9a | Yes | 20 | 17.0¢ | $2 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 16 | 12.3¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| goosen8or0xf4d8…4c91 | No | 2 | 83.7¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | 14 | 11.0¢ | $1 | — |
| mlrbt0xc1dc…48fa | Yes | 12 | 15.6¢ | $1 | — |
| Alcaraz20260x0172…4e84 | No | 1 | 83.7¢ | $1 | — |
| habash20x056f…36fa | Yes | 8 | 15.6¢ | $1 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 1 | 85.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| SoW-yiyi0xd1b0…7efc | Yes | 7 | 14.6¢ | $1 | — |
| PythiaWPD0xdd7a…7bfb | Yes | 7 | 10.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x6fbc…fa10 | Yes | 7 | 12.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.85 per $100 · 1,378 bets |
| 0x5670x6b4a…3647 | No | 1 | 82.1¢ | $1 | — |
| dinolooser0x6199…a04b | Yes | 3 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
| nothing-to-lose0xd097…60b0 | Yes | 3 | 9.1¢ | $0 | — |
| galhammerman0xdc05…9a76 | No | 0 | 84.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x66go0x66d3…6538 | Yes | 1 | 14.6¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 0 | 9.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,311 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.