Market · 2 of 11 outcomes
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 13?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:37 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| hfv0xe102…71df | No | 277 | 79.1¢ | $200 | — |
| arehovbrow0xb209…ad88 | No | 212 | 77.8¢ | $153 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Yes |
| 489 |
| 22.1¢ |
| $137 |
| — |
| 0xeb1b…87c0 | Yes | 465 | 23.6¢ | $130 | — |
| JokerTheClown0x819d…07f1 | No | 95 | 75.5¢ | $68 | Proven+$21.46 per $100 · 12,441 bets |
| OnlyLuckNoBrain0x6a8d…50f9 | No | 86 | 74.9¢ | $62 | — |
| LuckyRabit0xeeeb…1157 | Yes | 136 | 26.5¢ | $38 | — |
| MoneyForSky060x7d64…07f8 | Yes | 132 | 22.1¢ | $37 | — |
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | No | 43 | 75.0¢ | $31 | Losing−$5.46 per $100 · 31,074 bets |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | No | 41 | 75.3¢ | $30 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| ImBadAtMath0x1e60…dd19 | No | 40 | 77.0¢ | $29 | — |
| Up23330xe1f4…304d | Yes | 102 | 20.3¢ | $29 | — |
| 0x5670x6b4a…3647 | No | 38 | 77.4¢ | $28 | — |
| PythiaWPD0xdd7a…7bfb | No | 32 | 70.0¢ | $23 | — |
| yellowhp0x716a…e885 | No | 30 | 84.7¢ | $22 | — |
| huangfeng78900xdddd…10ea | Yes | 65 | 27.5¢ | $18 | — |
| whhisky0xcef6…2ade | No | 25 | 76.9¢ | $18 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 24 | 73.7¢ | $18 | — |
| BullishBlizzard0x43bd…beda | Yes | 62 | 24.9¢ | $17 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 22 | 76.0¢ | $16 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| sdssds0x813f…26ec | No | 21 | 78.7¢ | $15 | — |
| nailongbaobao0x2549…c8b1 | Yes | 55 | 23.0¢ | $15 | — |
| fildoro0x180e…29df | No | 20 | 73.0¢ | $15 | — |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | No | 20 | 73.5¢ | $15 | Losing−$4.17 per $100 · 8,350 bets |
| kukumaka0xfacc…4d07 | No | 20 | 74.0¢ | $14 | — |
| dinolooser0x6199…a04b | No | 20 | 75.0¢ | $14 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 20 | 73.0¢ | $14 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,641 bets |
| windy-weather0x164c…3e39 | Yes | 49 | 20.2¢ | $14 | — |
| 5a82666suyuchen0x7076…d0d9 | Yes | 46 | 26.1¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x5af7…aa8f | Yes | 45 | 19.8¢ | $13 | — |
| Mikhail20260x4193…f60b | Yes | 37 | 25.9¢ | $10 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 32 | 17.4¢ | $9 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | Yes | 30 | 16.0¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 36,281+ bets · updating |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 11 | 72.0¢ | $8 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 19,896 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 10 | 74.8¢ | $7 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,311 bets |
| sergiovrn0xaaf7…443b | Yes | 23 | 20.7¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xdd70…1d06 | Yes | 22 | 23.5¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x68ae…9df0 | No | 8 | 77.9¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x6cd0…3361 | Yes | 17 | 22.9¢ | $5 | — |
| PechaArt0x3fc8…66a1 | Yes | 15 | 23.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x28bc…c1b8 | No | 6 | 80.1¢ | $4 | — |
| goosen8or0xf4d8…4c91 | Yes | 13 | 23.4¢ | $4 | — |
| riskaversedegen0xac1f…cf6a | No | 5 | 80.0¢ | $4 | — |
| PhantomRonin0xb627…d968 | No | 5 | 76.9¢ | $4 | — |
| omore0xc6ee…edcb | No | 5 | 74.0¢ | $4 | — |
| risto-test10xca84…6f8d | Yes | 11 | 30.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x45e7…d77c | No | 4 | 69.0¢ | $3 | — |
| kokonokoko0xa6f1…f263 | No | 4 | 72.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 2415325324320xce0b…b974 | Yes | 9 | 18.7¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 8 | 24.9¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.60 per $100 · 56,831+ bets · updating |
| cdi.bot0x1dc6…9852 | Yes | 8 | 33.1¢ | $2 | — |
| Alcaraz20260x0172…4e84 | Yes | 7 | 30.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x3cef…23e0 | Yes | 7 | 31.0¢ | $2 | — |
| jianghai010x3738…ed32 | Yes | 7 | 30.0¢ | $2 | — |
| ClutchCapital0xe138…66c9 | No | 2 | 81.6¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x67e6…2210 | Yes | 5 | 23.9¢ | $1 | — |
| laddu20x733e…d6da | Yes | 5 | 24.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd96a…d8ce | Yes | 5 | 27.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4327…fc28 | Yes | 4 | 23.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x208b…f13e | No | 1 | 84.4¢ | $1 | — |
| nothing-to-lose0xd097…60b0 | Yes | 3 | 9.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Poligarch0xb40e…7cc9 | Yes | 2 | 28.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.94 per $100 · 60,365+ bets · updating |
| 0x60e4…f926 | Yes | 0 | 25.9¢ | $0 | — |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 27 shares each side · Show
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