Market · 4 of 11 outcomes
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 13?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:55 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x208b…f13e | No | 30 | 97.9¢ | $29 | — |
| frogcast0x31af…5c86 | No | 30 | 97.1¢ | $29 | — |
| 0x9b62…042f | No | 10 | 97.7¢ | $10 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 5 | 97.9¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Bugoz0x7328…dbff | Yes | 35 | 2.2¢ | $1 | — |
| satoshi170xb858…21a9 | No | 1 | 98.1¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 11 outcomes add up to 105.9¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.