Market · 10 of 11 outcomes
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 13?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:08 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| batistpk0xbe0a…eed1 | No | 143 | 99.9¢ | $143 | — |
| 1DVSBSTD0xeb1d…59b0 | No | 30 | 99.9¢ | $30 | Break-even−$0.02 per $100 · 30,009+ bets · updating |
| qingfenglilili0x2c00…073d | No | 25 | 99.7¢ | $25 | — |
| Rich-Worm0xfb68…aabd | No | 20 | 99.5¢ | $20 | — |
| weather-highest-strangle0xbe79…508b | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| hello.670x2e3e…0f92 | Yes | 379 | 9.1¢ | $0 | Proven+$12.86 per $100 · 2,699 bets |
| PythiaWPD0xdd7a…7bfb | Yes | 124 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xab53…b60a | Yes | 80 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 60 | 9.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,355 bets |
| Morra0xf960…ba50 | No | 0 | 99.1¢ | $0 | — |
| testfor10x0400…f278 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | Yes | 41 | 9.1¢ | $0 | — |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | Yes | 39 | 9.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | Yes | 24 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ISddI0x655c…4420 | Yes | 23 | 9.1¢ | $0 | — |
| xamel270x242c…fbe8 | Yes | 21 | 9.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$38.72 per $100 · 154 bets |
| lin202610x3a22…7407 | Yes | 21 | 9.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$35.67 per $100 · 274 bets |
| akla270x5993…a32d | Yes | 21 | 9.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$37.53 per $100 · 318 bets |
| mel270x6afe…f266 | Yes | 21 | 9.1¢ | $0 | — |
| zerone7770xe949…dea6 | Yes | 21 | 9.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$36.27 per $100 · 616 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 20 | 9.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,694 bets |
| 0xb0e7…39d2 | Yes | 18 | 9.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.06 per $100 · 23,105 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 11 | 9.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.70 per $100 · 56,884 bets |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.76 per $100 · 26,465 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 5 | 9.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.76 per $100 · 71,440+ bets · updating |
| 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | 5 | 9.1¢ | $0 | — |
| gogogo-v30x8c17…9098 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| nothing-to-lose0xd097…60b0 | Yes | 3 | 9.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.