Market · 3 of 11 outcomes
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 13?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 22:04 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| hfv0xe102…71df | No | 526 | 88.0¢ | $466 | — |
| cleaningLady0x77f0…2b1f | No | 345 | 90.6¢ | $306 | — |
| Maddad0x9ea2…665a | Yes | 756 | 12.3¢ | $87 | — |
| hello.670x2e3e…0f92 | Yes | 575 | 9.1¢ | $66 | Proven+$12.86 per $100 · 2,699 bets |
| 0xeb1b…87c0 | Yes | 402 | 9.8¢ | $46 | — |
| kerbrerv0xfb65…2dfc | No | 41 | 89.2¢ | $36 | — |
| 0x1753…cafd | No | 30 | 90.0¢ | $27 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 28 | 88.5¢ | $25 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| gaaaydoggggg0x486c…6799 | No | 22 | 88.0¢ | $20 | — |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | No | 20 | 88.0¢ | $18 | Losing−$4.17 per $100 · 8,350 bets |
| trademaster40000x5936…c2d6 | No | 20 | 77.0¢ | $18 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 20 | 89.0¢ | $18 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| 2415325324320xce0b…b974 | Yes | 147 | 9.4¢ | $17 | — |
| 0x2706…c6be | No | 15 | 89.1¢ | $13 | — |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | No | 15 | 88.0¢ | $13 | Losing−$3.37 per $100 · 13,656 bets |
| psyslo0x5f21…b1d2 | Yes | 87 | 11.5¢ | $10 | — |
| bhuumi0x937b…bfab | No | 10 | 88.0¢ | $9 | — |
| tetriary0x6fb4…76e9 | No | 7 | 77.9¢ | $7 | — |
| Poligarch0xb40e…7cc9 | No | 6 | 88.0¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.94 per $100 · 60,365+ bets · updating |
| bb846750x383a…a20c | No | 6 | 82.7¢ | $5 | — |
| EkkTemp0x1359…7e7b | No | 5 | 93.3¢ | $5 | — |
| Rupertuz0xfe2b…a481 | No | 5 | 91.4¢ | $4 | — |
| cryptoqan0n0xcc78…d202 | No | 4 | 90.5¢ | $4 | — |
| DBCooperWeather0x0e5e…35c9 | Yes | 27 | 11.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 5a82666suyuchen0x7076…d0d9 | Yes | 20 | 23.8¢ | $2 | — |
| weather123450x8ed6…87d4 | Yes | 18 | 9.0¢ | $2 | — |
| stephaneau0xc0cf…4f1b | Yes | 18 | 11.5¢ | $2 | — |
| yy1996000x68ce…d0da | Yes | 15 | 12.5¢ | $2 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 14 | 12.3¢ | $2 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| 0x5f3e…5337 | Yes | 13 | 18.0¢ | $1 | — |
| aldiaz84.coin0x0187…0200 | Yes | 10 | 12.0¢ | $1 | — |
| navber0xbcfe…2d00 | Yes | 10 | 8.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.65 per $100 · 613 bets |
| llbean0xdaeb…0d2f | Yes | 10 | 9.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x546a…1988 | Yes | 9 | 12.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.15 per $100 · 42,787+ bets · updating |
| 0x38e2…2909 | No | 1 | 88.5¢ | $1 | — |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | Yes | 7 | 9.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 6 | 28.0¢ | $1 | — |
| LuckyRabit0xeeeb…1157 | Yes | 6 | 25.0¢ | $1 | — |
| OnlyLuckNoBrain0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | 6 | 27.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 4 | 6.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Alcaraz20260x0172…4e84 | Yes | 4 | 9.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2517…a3b6 | Yes | 2 | 6.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | 1 | 8.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x005e…6d8e | No | 0 | 90.5¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.