Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:03 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| StarMaster0xeca0…e8f8 | No | 750 | 89.4¢ | $711 | Proven+$2.31 per $100 · 4,789 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 721 | 94.3¢ | $684 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| Jjw0xb1a1…d308 | No | 555 | 95.1¢ | $526 | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 2,249 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 146 | 94.8¢ | $138 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 118 | 94.7¢ | $112 | Losing−$7.91 per $100 · 3,067 bets |
| AiBird0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | 1,863 | 9.6¢ | $96 | Positive+$3.43 per $100 · 14,399 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 81 | 95.0¢ | $77 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| aviato0x2a01…6397 | No | 76 | 94.0¢ | $72 | Positive+$1.04 per $100 · 3,741 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 74 | 90.0¢ | $71 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | No | 55 | 90.0¢ | $52 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 22,022 bets |
| S8880x0711…f03c | No | 46 | 89.0¢ | $43 | Proven+$9.11 per $100 · 9,042 bets |
| EconProf0x2811…6818 | No | 42 | 94.6¢ | $40 | Positive+$1.77 per $100 · 519 bets |
| Lolakis0x401e…6fc9 | No | 12 | 94.4¢ | $12 | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 2,259 bets |
| ewkvwe6e0xfa1c…e175 | No | 11 | 90.4¢ | $11 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 11 | 94.2¢ | $10 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| asdfasdf110xc216…888c | No | 10 | 92.1¢ | $9 | — |
| kk8s118es0xe39f…f224 | No | 10 | 92.0¢ | $9 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 159 | 5.1¢ | $8 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | No | 7 | 90.4¢ | $7 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| Ardtysrt010x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | 107 | 5.9¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.50 per $100 · 6,078 bets |
| Arpadex0x329d…5a92 | Yes | 100 | 11.0¢ | $5 | — |
| ViscaElBarca0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | 80 | 10.0¢ | $4 | — |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | Yes | 80 | 5.7¢ | $4 | Losing−$3.30 per $100 · 5,059 bets |
| 0x4029…7639 | Yes | 72 | 3.4¢ | $4 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 53 | 10.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 51 | 5.9¢ | $3 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| aniceguy0x4bbf…517e | Yes | 45 | 11.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x9de6…e7f0 | Yes | 40 | 9.0¢ | $2 | — |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 20 | 5.3¢ | $1 | — |
| ChukuleTerak0x35f5…d7c4 | Yes | 12 | 11.4¢ | $1 | — |
| ddd333aaa0x1dc1…5f5b | Yes | 10 | 5.9¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.06 per $100 · 4,881 bets |
| ddaasdf0x9209…a393 | Yes | 10 | 4.0¢ | $1 | — |
| aaadda0xa840…87f7 | Yes | 10 | 5.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 4,316 bets |
| yohe0x54f2…ec42 | Yes | 9 | 11.4¢ | $0 | — |
| kor-and-m0x0b14…f1f5 | Yes | 4 | 5.8¢ | $0 | — |
| rocky420060x85d5…bbf0 | No | 0 | 92.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc5da…5f86 | No | 0 | 95.5¢ | $0 | — |
| nibblemaxxing0xc50c…3017 | Yes | 0 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| scalerr0xe50e…45c5 | No | 0 | 92.3¢ | $0 | — |
| StevieKiwi0xe9f3…c4a6 | Yes | 0 | 5.4¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 5.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 0 | 8.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,736 bets |
| Polimaki0x98a8…a47b | Yes | 0 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | Yes | 0 | 4.5¢ | $0 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 0 | 2.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,518 bets |
| napamen0x8494…814a | Yes | 0 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
| the-260-Challenge0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | 0 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.