Market · 7 of 7 outcomes
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:15 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TheyAreTakingTheHobitsToIsengard0x1058…01c1 | No | 17,732 | 99.1¢ | $17.6K | Positive+$56.99 per $100 · 241 bets |
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul0x3a8a…7699 | No | 5,884 | 84.2¢ | $5.85K | Proven+$9.79 per $100 · 1,188 bets |
| 0xB16B00B50x8a7b…782f | No | 5,649 | 99.1¢ | $5.62K | — |
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | No | 4,698 | 95.8¢ | $4.67K | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 776 bets |
| QMG-MACRO0x4755…4338 | No | 2,485 | 93.9¢ | $2.47K | New99 settled bets |
| Ahpo0xcdb1…276c | No | 2,172 | 99.3¢ | $2.16K | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 3,433 bets |
| SaracensCapital20x94da…2bf1 | No | 1,341 | 96.2¢ | $1.33K | Losing−$4.10 per $100 · 294 bets |
| thanksmom0xc0cd…0aa9 | No | 1,119 | 99.0¢ | $1.11K | Break-even+$0.36 per $100 · 117 bets |
| 0xe51b…6e6d | No | 807 | 92.8¢ | $803 | — |
| 0xb8ee…9e81 | No | 800 | 63.2¢ | $796 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 19,474 bets |
| Debosnys0x7e30…1e50 | No | 800 | 99.1¢ | $796 | Break-even+$0.18 per $100 · 3,054 bets |
| classified0x12d6…f2a8 | No | 584 | 96.8¢ | $580 | Positive+$3.90 per $100 · 1,966 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 539 | 91.7¢ | $536 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| rplc-crpt0x8a52…6a3c | No | 501 | 97.4¢ | $498 | — |
| gwenni0xdb54…f008 | No | 430 | 81.1¢ | $428 | — |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 403 | 98.9¢ | $401 | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 19,488 bets |
| BrianBorgu0xbd86…1f67 | No | 276 | 46.8¢ | $274 | Losing−$1.58 per $100 · 235 bets |
| slippopz0x6b3c…d53f | No | 256 | 98.6¢ | $254 | — |
| BerkshireHahaway0x7f29…0760 | No | 200 | 96.0¢ | $199 | Break-even−$0.10 per $100 · 1,492 bets |
| spec-tater0xf70e…97f0 | No | 158 | 95.8¢ | $158 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 154 | 84.8¢ | $153 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | No | 140 | 93.0¢ | $139 | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 2,408 bets |
| bravelittleguy0x1d66…928f | No | 115 | 95.7¢ | $115 | Break-even−$0.93 per $100 · 252 bets |
| truthteller0x30e4…5102 | Yes | 16,890 | 6.4¢ | $93 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 3,480 bets |
| MPCap200x94d7…868b | No | 55 | 95.7¢ | $55 | — |
| GenaTheBondKilIer0xd632…8afb | No | 54 | 56.0¢ | $53 | — |
| hoothoottook0x4a75…ebf5 | No | 53 | 0.0¢ | $53 | — |
| ariete-avanti0x4b13…1e16 | No | 53 | 0.0¢ | $53 | — |
| itchy-balls0x67cd…b645 | No | 53 | 0.0¢ | $53 | — |
| JOBBIDEN0x6a7d…95c8 | No | 53 | 0.0¢ | $53 | — |
| fettuchini-alfredo0xbc84…0459 | No | 53 | 0.0¢ | $53 | — |
| strait-of-oil0xe9a6…d898 | No | 53 | 0.0¢ | $53 | — |
| citroensurveyer30x8527…07d4 | No | 53 | 0.0¢ | $53 | — |
| cy6erpunker0x2783…8321 | No | 50 | 99.1¢ | $50 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 702 bets |
| ntaken0xa8a1…e352 | No | 50 | 99.2¢ | $50 | — |
| cirnik0xab60…8301 | No | 41 | 0.0¢ | $41 | — |
| fafafafafafafafsadasdq0xd798…f8bc | Yes | 6,633 | 5.6¢ | $36 | — |
| GoldmanSachs0x71dd…d61c | No | 31 | 90.0¢ | $31 | Proven+$12.50 per $100 · 534 bets |
| daroghi0xf0b0…8cab | No | 30 | 76.9¢ | $30 | Break-even+$0.46 per $100 · 40,033+ bets · updating |
| 0x4935…dfda | No | 25 | 87.1¢ | $25 | — |
| l4920x7efb…68a1 | No | 23 | 47.3¢ | $23 | — |
| HolyMoses70xa4b3…87b8 | Yes | 3,679 | 12.2¢ | $20 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,831 bets |
| alphahunt-x0x3687…d8fc | No | 20 | 86.2¢ | $20 | — |
| pplayouts0x66a2…c5fb | No | 16 | 80.8¢ | $16 | — |
| Daolang0x0614…8adf | No | 15 | 99.6¢ | $15 | — |
| hrkfh0xc5dc…8b3f | No | 15 | 99.6¢ | $15 | — |
| Bobos0x6f62…681b | No | 15 | 99.6¢ | $15 | — |
| Kobey0xcac2…4255 | No | 15 | 99.6¢ | $15 | — |
| hfrh0x7dff…960b | No | 15 | 99.6¢ | $15 | — |
| Lakun0x03e8…dc13 | No | 14 | 99.6¢ | $14 | — |
| Jinzha0xd2ff…e2e2 | No | 14 | 99.6¢ | $14 | — |
| cakoy0x6447…3aa3 | Yes | 2,090 | 17.9¢ | $11 | — |
| hzb88480xdda0…9553 | Yes | 2,000 | 6.6¢ | $11 | — |
| liftfordid0x82c0…2892 | Yes | 1,907 | 4.0¢ | $10 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 1,431 | 1.0¢ | $8 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| 0x0cf2…6751 | Yes | 1,340 | 15.6¢ | $7 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 1,003 | 6.6¢ | $6 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| cryptolev0x7ed4…a408 | Yes | 1,000 | 15.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x9877…13a8 | Yes | 870 | 23.5¢ | $5 | — |
| CryptoAddict0x98dc…9949 | Yes | 655 | 23.8¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x35e3…3d33 | Yes | 647 | 16.1¢ | $4 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 600 | 4.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| xckute0x59a3…4263 | Yes | 530 | 4.1¢ | $3 | New1 settled bet |
| hfgfdh0xbd0a…e36a | Yes | 529 | 0.7¢ | $3 | — |
| Zhongyongg0x45eb…2368 | Yes | 527 | 0.7¢ | $3 | — |
| Convex790x4d86…1cb2 | Yes | 454 | 1.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$2.41 per $100 · 1,380 bets |
| goldgood0x0f44…f4bd | Yes | 401 | 6.5¢ | $2 | — |
| qcp20xd245…2318 | Yes | 383 | 10.8¢ | $2 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 382 | 3.9¢ | $2 | — |
| rocbalie20x7ce8…144a | Yes | 319 | 5.3¢ | $2 | — |
| whumpa0xe000…cbb1 | Yes | 294 | 17.0¢ | $2 | — |
| augustine3140x672d…0252 | Yes | 269 | 45.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf014…a7cd | Yes | 250 | 11.3¢ | $1 | — |
| NoPeeking0xffd2…d7ae | Yes | 242 | 42.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.26 per $100 · 1,107 bets |
| rplt-cto0xc97b…8a22 | Yes | 200 | 8.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5629…f2a3 | Yes | 194 | 4.6¢ | $1 | New32 settled bets |
| 0x923e…ab45 | Yes | 161 | 4.6¢ | $1 | — |
| ivanzolo20040x42fa…4c09 | Yes | 150 | 0.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf23e…fab9 | Yes | 140 | 10.4¢ | $1 | — |
| mimimomo10200x41a5…e44d | Yes | 139 | 7.5¢ | $1 | — |
| BestPlumberToEverDoIt0xcf48…0372 | Yes | 120 | 4.7¢ | $1 | — |
| UntitledUser10x43b9…5db9 | Yes | 118 | 6.1¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 569 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 115 | 1.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Omakase0xf751…2411 | Yes | 110 | 67.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x3283…1da9 | Yes | 106 | 30.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$15.00 per $100 · 109 bets |
| 4-testfollower-hm70xe694…7e7c | Yes | 104 | 10.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x297b…7f17 | Yes | 100 | 15.6¢ | $1 | — |
| akunai0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | 100 | 0.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x09f2…8503 | Yes | 97 | 16.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x2596…a695 | Yes | 95 | 1.1¢ | $1 | — |
| keenbean150x74ed…112b | Yes | 91 | 3.5¢ | $1 | — |
| iskren4o0x64ab…23a8 | Yes | 91 | 11.5¢ | $0 | — |
| poopedpants0xfe04…9a42 | Yes | 88 | 22.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9ed6…b7b4 | Yes | 75 | 19.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Mikolangello0x7994…aa73 | Yes | 69 | 15.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Zxywerv0x5e60…06a2 | Yes | 68 | 23.7¢ | $0 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 64 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| pedm0x2633…67b1 | Yes | 60 | 25.0¢ | $0 | — |
| qOk0xf076…0b3c | Yes | 3 | 82.9¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.