Market · 5 of 7 outcomes
Fed rate cut by January 2027 meeting?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 17:53 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QMG-MACRO0x4755…4338 | No | 1,657 | 94.1¢ | $1.57K | New99 settled bets |
| Ahpo0xcdb1…276c | No | 1,116 | 93.0¢ | $1.06K | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 3,434 bets |
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | No | 500 | 93.2¢ | $475 | Positive+$1.11 per $100 · 2,412 bets |
| 0x51be…2df3 | No | 350 | 93.3¢ | $332 | — |
| RektCitys0x7f0c…f073 | Yes | 3,145 | 6.7¢ | $157 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 38 | 93.5¢ | $36 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,955 bets |
| badatthis0x75ac…33d7 | Yes | 452 | 7.0¢ | $23 | Proven+$6.72 per $100 · 6,681 bets |
| charlatta0xb7b8…db31 | No | 7 | 86.0¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.36 per $100 · 305 bets |
| 0x8875…2bad | No | 5 | 94.3¢ | $5 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 5 | 93.0¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| hspje890xb44b…3fdb | No | 2 | 93.3¢ | $2 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 30 | 7.9¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.58 per $100 · 123,998 bets |
| Tsugaru0x2b5b…541b | Yes | 25 | 20.8¢ | $1 | — |
| rar1110x1bb7…543b | Yes | 11 | 5.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.24 per $100 · 241 bets |
| Win8867880x8be3…51da | Yes | 10 | 7.3¢ | $1 | — |
| xiaxiaoqiang20260x46bf…9537 | Yes | 7 | 14.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$15.28 per $100 · 477 bets |
| omnibus-6c8b150x6c8b…645c | No | 0 | 95.2¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.84 per $100 · 4,806 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.