Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 18:55 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 8 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul0x3a8a…7699 | No | 20,744 | 86.3¢ | $19.9K | Proven+$9.79 per $100 · 1,188 bets |
| LA170xf6ea…0a00 | No | 6,917 | 91.1¢ | $6.65K | Break-even+$0.74 per $100 · 420 bets |
| puravida0x80a4…22cc | No | 5,109 | 78.5¢ | $4.91K | Proven+$2.23 per $100 · 2,742 bets |
| User146570xbb96…6006 | No | 3,918 | 93.2¢ | $3.77K | New54 settled bets |
| 0xe617…f251 | No | 3,861 | 93.5¢ | $3.71K | Break-even−$0.85 per $100 · 1,612 bets |
| FATMAN0xea83…5c8f | No | 3,345 | 73.0¢ | $3.21K | Positive+$1.58 per $100 · 211 bets |
| d1k210x71ed…d9eb | No | 3,334 | 96.3¢ | $3.2K | Break-even+$0.67 per $100 · 3,200 bets |
| allenzzz0xe749…f771 | No | 2,259 | 96.4¢ | $2.17K | Proven+$2.10 per $100 · 229 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 1,483 | 88.6¢ | $1.43K | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
| redpanda1350x0e34…f1a7 | No | 1,288 | 93.6¢ | $1.24K | Proven+$2.02 per $100 · 109 bets |
| Ahpo0xcdb1…276c | No | 843 | 94.5¢ | $810 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 3,433 bets |
| StarMaster0xeca0…e8f8 | No | 751 | 79.7¢ | $721 | Proven+$2.31 per $100 · 4,789 bets |
| perseo0x4732…2f88 | No | 695 | 72.0¢ | $668 | — |
| 0x2ee4…19c4 | No | 645 | 93.4¢ | $620 | — |
| thebetter12340xf501…8852 | No | 496 | 93.6¢ | $477 | New98 settled bets |
| junypchome0x873a…e558 | Yes | 9,704 | 6.3¢ | $378 | — |
| S550x7124…70c1 | No | 367 | 80.5¢ | $352 | Proven+$6.56 per $100 · 500 bets |
| Betttttttttnn0x6ca9…3f78 | No | 338 | 93.4¢ | $324 | New7 settled bets |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | No | 300 | 93.2¢ | $288 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 871 bets |
| btcabal0x2f4e…3d8d | No | 300 | 91.0¢ | $288 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 221 | 93.7¢ | $213 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,860 bets |
| SpectralSageSuper0xe066…9ebb | No | 212 | 79.0¢ | $204 | — |
| LZ.010x955a…3cd3 | Yes | 5,000 | 8.1¢ | $195 | — |
| 0xMilly0x878e…a074 | Yes | 4,943 | 20.5¢ | $193 | — |
| toju0x3864…6102 | No | 174 | 82.0¢ | $168 | — |
| 0xdcdd…73a5 | Yes | 3,905 | 10.7¢ | $152 | Losing−$8.96 per $100 · 599 bets |
| tiredShip0x2aae…a80c | No | 152 | 96.5¢ | $146 | — |
| VibeyQuant0x1f85…a51b | No | 145 | 88.0¢ | $139 | Proven+$3.12 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
| 0xdbd3…2947 | Yes | 3,500 | 8.9¢ | $137 | New1 settled bet |
| bazzaloing0x29a5…7752 | No | 133 | 93.4¢ | $128 | — |
| tttt1230xdf40…38b8 | No | 133 | 79.2¢ | $127 | Positive+$2.19 per $100 · 3,002 bets |
| krootz0x450e…4fdd | No | 129 | 91.9¢ | $124 | — |
| 0xf0f8…fcf6 | No | 103 | 97.0¢ | $99 | Losing−$2.19 per $100 · 322 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 2,506 | 2.3¢ | $98 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| Bernardo0x1e98…6c6d | No | 100 | 93.0¢ | $96 | — |
| lyoo12100x1abe…f19f | Yes | 2,298 | 3.8¢ | $90 | — |
| ChairmanFed0x8369…f584 | Yes | 2,060 | 3.9¢ | $80 | Losing−$23.92 per $100 · 794 bets |
| SafeVaultBlue0x977f…0981 | No | 80 | 91.0¢ | $77 | — |
| duryaekim0x38cd…2f39 | Yes | 1,929 | 8.4¢ | $75 | — |
| raivoe5g0x33b9…fdcc | No | 65 | 97.5¢ | $63 | — |
| 0xe4de…a93d | Yes | 1,500 | 5.0¢ | $58 | — |
| singaporesling0xfa8f…d61b | Yes | 1,497 | 27.3¢ | $58 | Losing−$19.40 per $100 · 617 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 59 | 95.1¢ | $57 | Losing−$6.47 per $100 · 30,061+ bets · updating |
| jacoboliver0x03ba…91c0 | Yes | 1,462 | 7.1¢ | $57 | New18 settled bets |
| 0x151a…0ece | No | 58 | 91.4¢ | $55 | — |
| taut-dogwood0x8deb…7062 | No | 57 | 86.2¢ | $54 | Proven+$2.10 per $100 · 551 bets |
| schlepacat0xf03f…8901 | No | 55 | 96.3¢ | $53 | — |
| Milo3040xa428…1a4c | No | 55 | 93.0¢ | $53 | — |
| dickcan0xa1ad…e00d | No | 50 | 97.5¢ | $48 | — |
| sheeple90000x2efb…d22e | No | 50 | 94.3¢ | $48 | — |
| shaoqi7670x3750…cbdd | Yes | 1,164 | 9.0¢ | $45 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 1,134 | 8.1¢ | $44 | Losing−$5.17 per $100 · 30,004+ bets · updating |
| frozenriver0x1437…acfe | Yes | 1,000 | 6.0¢ | $39 | Proven+$37.22 per $100 · 20,990 bets |
| Zzzz870x2117…5c26 | Yes | 1,000 | 9.0¢ | $39 | Losing−$3.44 per $100 · 9,454 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 800 | 2.0¢ | $31 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| goodgoblin0xc52d…e814 | Yes | 780 | 8.1¢ | $30 | — |
| 0x6548…9108 | No | 30 | 80.0¢ | $29 | — |
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | Yes | 722 | 5.2¢ | $28 | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 1,141 bets |
| HansMoriyasu0x4600…4e74 | Yes | 720 | 14.9¢ | $28 | — |
| ggppp0x9eb9…1ad5 | Yes | 719 | 7.3¢ | $28 | — |
| sobbi0x88b1…3678 | Yes | 706 | 20.5¢ | $28 | — |
| Number600x88ea…0512 | No | 25 | 85.0¢ | $24 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 613 | 3.6¢ | $24 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 30,060+ bets · updating |
| Spartan870x0c95…230d | No | 25 | 97.1¢ | $24 | — |
| auroramw0x4459…c903 | Yes | 559 | 15.2¢ | $22 | — |
| Ruxpin840x2f91…f6ff | Yes | 500 | 12.6¢ | $20 | — |
| marcelobravo0x36b6…e523 | No | 20 | 90.0¢ | $19 | — |
| Terrence19920xc094…c8d4 | Yes | 438 | 4.3¢ | $17 | Losing−$4.45 per $100 · 2,984 bets |
| FaucetWiki0x8aac…0e7a | Yes | 414 | 5.1¢ | $16 | Losing−$4.58 per $100 · 3,494 bets |
| pizdi.bolyu0x27b9…90d0 | Yes | 393 | 8.7¢ | $15 | — |
| noise126trader0xafb1…0329 | No | 15 | 83.0¢ | $14 | — |
| tator-tot0xc6ec…deb6 | Yes | 335 | 29.9¢ | $13 | Proven+$3.40 per $100 · 231 bets |
| norsie0x93e7…d447 | Yes | 333 | 9.4¢ | $13 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 330 | 2.1¢ | $13 | Losing−$8.60 per $100 · 29,951+ bets · updating |
| 0xf22b…7eab | Yes | 325 | 4.1¢ | $13 | — |
| SlimPickin0x0a8c…3646 | Yes | 305 | 5.0¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x0d62…27e0 | Yes | 300 | 16.0¢ | $12 | Proven+$5.78 per $100 · 301 bets |
| MPCap200x94d7…868b | No | 12 | 85.0¢ | $12 | — |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 250 | 2.0¢ | $10 | Positive+$11.88 per $100 · 5,339 bets |
| chefradish0xd1ee…a8ae | Yes | 250 | 8.4¢ | $10 | — |
| okakokak0x79c1…497d | No | 10 | 90.0¢ | $10 | — |
| wirisr0xb58d…3b86 | No | 10 | 93.0¢ | $10 | — |
| kk8s118es0xe39f…f224 | No | 10 | 96.6¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xB16B00B50x8a7b…782f | No | 10 | 91.5¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x75cd…43dd | Yes | 230 | 2.2¢ | $9 | — |
| Xiyai0x2b35…2ec5 | Yes | 217 | 6.8¢ | $8 | — |
| PVfrio10x9ef6…8437 | Yes | 216 | 3.9¢ | $8 | — |
| cornishon10xd990…749e | Yes | 211 | 4.6¢ | $8 | — |
| Lipider0x0523…a3ed | No | 8 | 83.0¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x344d…1278 | Yes | 205 | 5.1¢ | $8 | — |
| 0xf699…12cf | Yes | 200 | 22.0¢ | $8 | — |
| yuri0070xc072…7644 | Yes | 183 | 21.9¢ | $7 | — |
| Volku0x72bd…2b64 | Yes | 165 | 14.8¢ | $6 | — |
| ISIM0x659c…4b97 | Yes | 159 | 16.0¢ | $6 | — |
| SharpRO0x2a61…588b | Yes | 155 | 25.9¢ | $6 | — |
| stan030xb8ef…de81 | Yes | 151 | 23.4¢ | $6 | — |
| KBzero0x641e…b915 | Yes | 143 | 7.3¢ | $6 | — |
| shakonikl0x3d64…12a1 | No | 6 | 95.0¢ | $6 | — |
| alijbee0x1874…594f | Yes | 133 | 4.2¢ | $5 | Proven+$3.99 per $100 · 259 bets |
| 0x9dd9…08bd | Yes | 131 | 13.5¢ | $5 | Losing−$5.13 per $100 · 30,404+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.