Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:17 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | No | 432 | 17.6¢ | $410 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 6,373 bets |
| Aurigaa0xf393…cc33 | No | 48 | 21.6¢ | $46 | — |
| 0x628a…6d8f | No | 35 | 20.8¢ | $33 | — |
| Kybl0xe969…1075 | No | 15 | 20.8¢ | $14 | — |
| SausageWrap0xfb59…8453 | No | 11 | 89.5¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x2a7c…b745 | No | 10 | 20.8¢ | $9 | — |
| CashMichi0xdd58…e3a9 | No | 8 | 61.6¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x9eac…9f68 | Yes | 125 | 87.0¢ | $6 | — |
| carpe-noctem0x596a…7a0f | No | 7 | 14.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xc2ca…04f5 | Yes | 110 | 0.4¢ | $6 | — |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.0x7474…cef7 | Yes | 109 | 0.4¢ | $6 | — |
| wbs260xb62b…05cd | No | 6 | 27.5¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x303c…dea6 | No | 5 | 23.0¢ | $4 | — |
| kudahitam0xd9a6…31e5 | No | 4 | 23.9¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x2929…9266 | Yes | 57 | 87.6¢ | $3 | — |
| koolaidtree470x49a1…b416 | No | 2 | 46.2¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x44be…16f7 | Yes | 38 | 80.8¢ | $2 | — |
| Jerseykid0xeb2d…35f8 | Yes | 37 | 80.8¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x4ecd…1da3 | Yes | 31 | 80.8¢ | $2 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 4.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| carelia0x3da8…be26 | No | 1 | 16.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.75 per $100 · 14,341 bets |
| 0xfe08…0fb3 | No | 1 | 89.5¢ | $1 | — |
| RadioFreeZerg0x5210…bd53 | No | 1 | 15.1¢ | $1 | — |
| rwcoffee0xd8c1…16c0 | Yes | 12 | 86.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$18.99 per $100 · 605 bets |
| sweise0xb8f6…4f7f | Yes | 8 | 71.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa78e…9ee1 | Yes | 7 | 85.2¢ | $0 | — |
| iceman3130x7c32…ae78 | Yes | 6 | 85.6¢ | $0 | — |
| bromberg0x168a…da29 | Yes | 5 | 65.0¢ | $0 | — |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| HarveY1570xefc3…2ccb | Yes | 3 | 81.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xfa7d…c5a0 | Yes | 2 | 85.6¢ | $0 | — |
| changjac0x7e17…029a | Yes | 1 | 84.7¢ | $0 | — |
| karibikJoven0xa20d…74c2 | Yes | 1 | 86.6¢ | $0 | — |
| MaxNormal0xe2ff…dab5 | Yes | 1 | 86.6¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.