Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 01:01 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Started-with-20-USD0x4388…5050 | Yes | 3,142 | 26.1¢ | $1.59K | Proven+$14.81 per $100 · 3,730 bets |
| StudyPrediction0x33bc…37dc | No | 2,000 | 75.0¢ | $990 | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 23,198 bets |
| pagliacci40x9b55…1167 | No | 1,037 | 84.5¢ | $513 | — |
| 0xf6c0…722e | No | 608 | 73.0¢ | $301 | — |
| Los0s1k0xf346…1b8e | Yes | 256 | 96.2¢ | $129 | — |
| drduder0x21be…ba2f | Yes | 233 | 83.9¢ | $118 | — |
| 0xc514…d7b9 | Yes | 145 | 25.2¢ | $73 | — |
| carelia0x3da8…be26 | No | 125 | 76.0¢ | $62 | Losing−$1.78 per $100 · 14,409 bets |
| veronicagarcia0xa852…e696 | No | 71 | 36.0¢ | $35 | — |
| PredictJon0xcdd4…e18e | No | 60 | 65.0¢ | $30 | — |
| nhat27510x8a74…fbc8 | Yes | 49 | 92.4¢ | $25 | — |
| F210x32f6…9538 | Yes | 43 | 26.6¢ | $22 | Losing−$6.98 per $100 · 328 bets |
| lukebezett0xdb90…678c | Yes | 40 | 36.1¢ | $20 | — |
| atanvardo0x64a9…43a3 | No | 20 | 75.0¢ | $10 | — |
| Rentabar0xf802…d91d | No | 20 | 10.0¢ | $10 | — |
| Kybl0xe969…1075 | Yes | 18 | 84.7¢ | $9 | — |
| AusMaximus0x0b46…625f | Yes | 16 | 44.7¢ | $8 | Losing−$18.19 per $100 · 462 bets |
| RadioFreeZerg0x5210…bd53 | No | 14 | 74.7¢ | $7 | — |
| felixetoz0x4566…8063 | No | 6 | 10.0¢ | $3 | — |
| -17732949214700xfe45…95fe | Yes | 6 | 4.5¢ | $3 | — |
| troim0x4a2b…af20 | Yes | 6 | 11.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 1,254 bets |
| Chulios14880x1b7f…6c2b | Yes | 4 | 24.9¢ | $2 | — |
| DeepPoint0x506b…e805 | Yes | 4 | 25.9¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xfe08…0fb3 | No | 2 | 88.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x07dd…ae34 | Yes | 1 | 50.0¢ | $1 | — |
| taojpl0x3b1a…df15 | No | 1 | 80.8¢ | $1 | — |
| jifidsisjdidf0x95ac…a7f7 | Yes | 1 | 12.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x209e…0fee | Yes | 1 | 95.2¢ | $1 | — |
| itoney170x9372…3b1a | No | 0 | 16.1¢ | $0 | — |
| rwcoffee0xd8c1…16c0 | Yes | 0 | 51.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$18.99 per $100 · 605 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.