Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 21:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Up money sits with 3 accounts that hold just as much Down. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Up, 0 on Down. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| gobblewobble0x0fe4…01b7 | Down | 1,118 | 48.3¢ | $665 | Break-even+$0.78 per $100 · 4,015 bets |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | Down | 1,034 | 63.6¢ | $616 | Break-even |
Shares = Up minus Down for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Niseko0x801d…d8e0 | Up | 800 | 54.5¢ | $324 | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 2,059 bets |
| blancnoirchat0x0333…f234 | Up | 500 | 40.0¢ | $202 | Break-even−$0.96 per $100 · 3,244 bets |
| vedaresearch.eth0xa64d…cad1 | Up | 444 | 36.5¢ | $180 | — |
| 0xe623…9800 | Up | 237 | 43.8¢ | $96 | — |
3 accounts bet both sides equally · 51 shares each side · Show
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Ethereum price · Oct 14 · 273 events · $35.8K in play