Map 2 Winner

Decided by

The market resolves to the winner of Map 2: Aurora Gaming if Aurora Gaming wins Map 2, Spirit if Spirit wins Map 2.§2

Map 2 incomplete

If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, the market resolves 50-50.§5

Match canceled

If the match is canceled and not played at all, the market resolves 50-50.§6

Match not completed

If the match begins but is not completed and Map 2 has a determined winner, the market resolves on that completed Map 2.§4

Postponement deadline

If postponed, the match must be rescheduled to start on or before October 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the original start).§7

Counted

Map 2 of the Counter-Strike 3rd Place match between Aurora Gaming and Spirit.§2

Source

Official information from https://hltv.org.§10

Closes

Oct 11, 2026 · 17:40 UTC

Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.

Chance of Aurora Gaming

Shares = Aurora Gaming minus Spirit for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.