Market · 3 of 3 outcomes
Will the match end in a draw?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 13:17 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bc7g0x6df1…ea12 | No | 6,250 | 90.1¢ | $6.25K | Proven+$3.71 per $100 · 273 bets |
| ChristopherMoneymaker0x314e…af4e | No | 4,541 | 99.9¢ | $4.54K | — |
| SunlineTicker0x4df3…788f | No | 1,152 | 85.2¢ | $1.15K | Positive+$1.90 per $100 · 16,381 bets |
| uditboss0x8d33…9d84 | No | 828 | 99.4¢ | $828 | — |
| KnightDasCapital0xadfb…c2ef | No | 653 | 89.5¢ | $652 | Break-even+$0.18 per $100 · 105,906 bets |
| 0xe911…3d4e | No | 446 | 69.2¢ | $446 | Losing−$11.29 per $100 · 87,077+ bets · updating |
| mishipolis0x7a5d…54db | No | 178 | 59.7¢ | $178 | Proven+$2.74 per $100 · 24,461 bets |
| Dreamwire0x40a7…ecb7 | No | 100 | 90.2¢ | $100 | Break-even+$0.44 per $100 · 11,014 bets |
| Po1yamory0x5628…abbc | No | 100 | 91.0¢ | $100 | Break-even−$0.51 per $100 · 29,906 bets |
| topdogbigboi0x5d40…ba95 | No | 24 | 67.7¢ | $24 | Losing−$1.72 per $100 · 36,357 bets |
| zuihouyici0x8e1f…67ca | No | 20 | 80.0¢ | $20 | — |
| riccardobengal0xd2e7…08e9 | No | 17 | 90.0¢ | $17 | — |
| CrytoBotRD0xfb32…0035 | No | 12 | 87.0¢ | $12 | — |
| solomonheather0x5906…26e0 | No | 11 | 73.1¢ | $11 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 7 | 62.7¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,999 bets |
| carbon6c0x90dd…c435 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xa923…aad8 | No | 5 | 68.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | No | 4 | 67.1¢ | $4 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| dips.0xc785…4ef2 | Yes | 5,519 | 12.0¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.37 per $100 · 34,149 bets |
| tradecraft0xde9f…d43c | Yes | 2,500 | 28.8¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.72 per $100 · 21,810 bets |
| takeormake0xa38a…821d | Yes | 2,032 | 35.2¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 8,620 bets |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | Yes | 926 | 24.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 6,659 bets |
| omnibus-076daa0x076d…8d4c | Yes | 864 | 29.6¢ | $0 | Proven+$5.28 per $100 · 57,474 bets |
| smithagent0x1d1d…f2df | Yes | 414 | 13.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.29 per $100 · 6,411 bets |
| Soltrader-2500x0136…8e5d | Yes | 350 | 29.9¢ | $0 | — |
| grandculp0xbb8e…08c1 | Yes | 318 | 32.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Ajaydoot-17617249264100xa2cd…820f | Yes | 310 | 15.6¢ | $0 | — |
| lydial05710x6a7b…a65c | Yes | 265 | 10.6¢ | $0 | — |
| NotJump0xf1f2…8c8d | Yes | 260 | 15.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 50,052 bets |
| Ovidio170xc8ea…7f8d | Yes | 243 | 33.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2e37…8255 | Yes | 222 | 9.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Mjmaden080x6c8d…30a5 | Yes | 196 | 20.3¢ | $0 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 134 | 35.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 195,075 bets |
| 0xa3c2…df3d | Yes | 133 | 30.9¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.25 per $100 · 56,029 bets |
| fouc0x404a…575d | Yes | 100 | 14.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$4.82 per $100 · 773 bets |
| -Prediqa0xfc24…d399 | Yes | 100 | 29.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Ahmedshaham470x7557…2a24 | Yes | 99 | 36.6¢ | $0 | — |
| pengu1n0x8dd8…9a1c | Yes | 85 | 33.5¢ | $0 | — |
| himken0x115a…9d44 | Yes | 68 | 4.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.79 per $100 · 2,180 bets |
| shani830x03b8…b471 | Yes | 60 | 31.7¢ | $0 | — |
| chaeri0x61f6…e497 | Yes | 60 | 9.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.98 per $100 · 36,052 bets |
| aryans0xfd6d…bb9c | Yes | 50 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| oneoftheppl0x4d1d…01ac | Yes | 39 | 14.4¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 7,427 bets |
| KKND890xe903…00f0 | Yes | 35 | 16.1¢ | $0 | — |
| gurugov0xc367…85e2 | Yes | 31 | 32.9¢ | $0 | — |
| MoneyMachine390x0640…5ea2 | Yes | 31 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Jagadeeshkumar0x14fa…00a5 | Yes | 30 | 29.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon30480x079e…bcf3 | Yes | 22 | 36.8¢ | $0 | — |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 20 | 29.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5b23…7193 | Yes | 17 | 25.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Tomdo0x0beb…4503 | Yes | 16 | 26.9¢ | $0 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 16 | 29.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| Yosooooooo0xcccb…8590 | Yes | 16 | 36.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x126e…3b09 | Yes | 15 | 13.6¢ | $0 | — |
| IamUnderTheWater0xc928…3493 | Yes | 15 | 35.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xcf27…f35f | Yes | 14 | 38.1¢ | $0 | — |
| ayyuu0x8603…394f | Yes | 12 | 17.2¢ | $0 | — |
| mdmuzahid0x41a1…9910 | Yes | 12 | 9.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Sono03130x34bb…2fe1 | Yes | 11 | 7.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb3e3…12ca | Yes | 8 | 13.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 10sp0x9951…72ff | Yes | 5 | 38.7¢ | $0 | — |
| sammyfanboy0xb872…25ef | Yes | 5 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Yajvandramaurya0x01cf…06be | Yes | 4 | 46.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Lossingmyself0x77d1…6d42 | Yes | 3 | 33.1¢ | $0 | — |
| SommarSmurf0x58a2…5c33 | Yes | 3 | 39.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.