Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 20:06 UTC. Not financial advice.
Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| johnsonbryce0x9552…b4d3 | Pakistan | 39 | 71.0¢ | $39 | — |
| huffmichael0xf1b6…522c | Pakistan | 22 | 71.0¢ | $22 | — |
| 0x053f…89ef | Pakistan | 1 | 70.1¢ | $1 | — |
| NotJump0xf1f2…8c8d | Pakistan | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.08 per $100 · 30,006+ bets · updating |
| Irfanyousuf0xc807…8038 | Sri Lanka | 40,000 | 25.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.39 per $100 · 121 bets |
| nigiri990xdc41…dd7e | Sri Lanka | 17,567 | 33.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.83 per $100 · 32,163 bets |
Shares = Pakistan minus Sri Lanka for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.