Market
Will the match end in a draw?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 19:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vish3990x42b9…e11b | Yes | 104 | 25.5¢ | $104 | — |
| IamUnderTheWater0xc928…3493 | Yes | 0 | 5.1¢ | $0 | — |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 0 | 9.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.69 per $100 · 3,362 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 13,006 | 89.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,376 bets |
| norealtime0x56c2…6219 | No | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$11.44 per $100 · 9,418 bets |
| KnightDasCapital0xadfb…c2ef | No | 968 | 96.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.18 per $100 · 105,906 bets |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | No | 916 | 94.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 6,659 bets |
| 0xa3c2…df3d | No | 280 | 86.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.25 per $100 · 56,029 bets |
| Po1yamory0x5628…abbc | No | 150 | 88.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.51 per $100 · 29,906 bets |
| Mantzuraj0x6f19…b9ff | No | 100 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| MrYanDao0x468b…68a5 | No | 58 | 91.2¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.26 per $100 · 2,654 bets |
| charlene240x8635…8a90 | No | 38 | 84.4¢ | $0 | — |
| zuihouyici0x8e1f…67ca | No | 20 | 79.3¢ | $0 | — |
| uowens0x3f3c…ccc1 | No | 19 | 84.4¢ | $0 | — |
| riccardobengal0xd2e7…08e9 | No | 8 | 88.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 8 | 85.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,029 bets |
| 0x9527…888b | No | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.09 per $100 · 9,189 bets |
| 0xe432…934a | No | 1 | 92.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.41 per $100 · 3,790 bets |
| fourcoin15m0x0629…501d | No | 0 | 93.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$10.84 per $100 · 22,091 bets |
| CrytoBotRD0xfb32…0035 | No | 0 | 88.6¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.