Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 20:22 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xrc0x4004…c40b | No | 122,457 | 87.3¢ | $117K | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 340 bets |
| Whitelied910x28aa…28f5 | No | 100,179 | 93.3¢ | $95.4K | New45 settled bets |
| -0-0x0eee…4c52 | No | 57,758 | 83.7¢ | $55K | New24 settled bets |
| 2475250x7138…8c89 | No | 47,587 | 92.5¢ | $45.3K | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 19,510 bets |
| po185030x22ff…5254 | No | 26,257 | 82.4¢ | $25K | New42 settled bets |
| moneychen0030x6fb9…05c7 | No | 21,335 | 93.7¢ | $20.3K | New2 settled bets |
| 0x9da81dc0xdc21…0726 | No | 21,260 | 86.6¢ | $20.2K | New45 settled bets |
| LBZone0xd81f…6b75 | No | 21,098 | 86.9¢ | $20.1K | Break-even−$0.20 per $100 · 23,245 bets |
| 0x3a30…371b | No | 20,753 | 87.9¢ | $19.8K | New5 settled bets |
| xinerxinerxiner0x6754…7487 | No | 19,331 | 92.2¢ | $18.4K | New7 settled bets |
| budu1000x43b4…ec9c | No | 13,830 | 93.7¢ | $13.2K | Positive+$1.61 per $100 · 147 bets |
| Gloriasissi0x797b…b5bc | No | 13,560 | 87.9¢ | $12.9K | Losing−$16.51 per $100 · 102 bets |
| MEPP0x6d9f…9790 | No | 11,250 | 81.3¢ | $10.7K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 1,289 bets |
| BT-polymarket0x3e8f…e1eb | No | 10,100 | 83.1¢ | $9.62K | New71 settled bets |
| hgamezoon0x82e9…b34c | No | 7,546 | 94.0¢ | $7.18K | New4 settled bets |
| OiOiOiCxxtCxxtCxxt0xd35b…e5d1 | No | 7,488 | 90.7¢ | $7.13K | New4 settled bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 6,529 | 93.7¢ | $6.22K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,907 bets |
| tony901250x397e…fd1d | No | 6,366 | 85.5¢ | $6.06K | Break-even+$0.51 per $100 · 183 bets |
| minisobaby0x0ead…9572 | No | 5,599 | 91.8¢ | $5.33K | New86 settled bets |
| LlamaLoco00000x93fb…3e4a | Yes | 110,421 | 6.7¢ | $5.3K | Proven+$10.70 per $100 · 391 bets |
| Stableincome0x2ee7…ce15 | No | 4,300 | 91.9¢ | $4.09K | New62 settled bets |
| Crypto4thewin0x527b…eb08 | Yes | 79,413 | 8.0¢ | $3.81K | New11 settled bets |
| linsen0x2be6…8ae5 | No | 4,000 | 88.0¢ | $3.81K | New6 settled bets |
| Avamax0xc97b…47e5 | No | 4,000 | 91.4¢ | $3.81K | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 721 bets |
| 0xc8c9…a94a | No | 3,964 | 93.8¢ | $3.77K | New65 settled bets |
| GamblingDino0xa41f…b397 | No | 3,842 | 92.9¢ | $3.66K | New82 settled bets |
| caspersmc0x9026…d7e4 | Yes | 74,139 | 18.4¢ | $3.56K | New0 settled bets |
| 0xdf27…e6e4 | No | 3,640 | 92.3¢ | $3.46K | Proven+$2.09 per $100 · 199 bets |
| miamimimi0x6431…3542 | No | 3,417 | 80.0¢ | $3.25K | New98 settled bets |
| 0xbb0b…b519 | No | 3,362 | 93.2¢ | $3.2K | New8 settled bets |
| bluemario0x34a1…7622 | No | 3,277 | 94.0¢ | $3.12K | Losing−$3.81 per $100 · 1,788 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 3,261 | 93.4¢ | $3.1K | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| justin99990x750e…bc18 | No | 3,007 | 92.9¢ | $2.86K | New8 settled bets |
| buganshuo0x69bf…9690 | No | 3,000 | 93.0¢ | $2.86K | New0 settled bets |
| wdaa0xd791…a063 | No | 2,961 | 96.9¢ | $2.82K | New3 settled bets |
| ElectricSamurai0x0f9b…7829 | No | 2,610 | 91.6¢ | $2.48K | Proven+$3.63 per $100 · 442 bets |
| Daviddu08130xed7b…1ba9 | No | 2,492 | 84.0¢ | $2.37K | New55 settled bets |
| Snowwang19990xd5a0…29b0 | No | 2,473 | 85.0¢ | $2.35K | New3 settled bets |
| iamkingofbay0x0d1b…3be7 | No | 2,381 | 84.0¢ | $2.27K | New97 settled bets |
| Arthur77770x95cf…eee3 | No | 2,374 | 84.2¢ | $2.26K | New0 settled bets |
| hhhi0x330c…2371 | No | 2,313 | 86.5¢ | $2.2K | New13 settled bets |
| mazw80x7c30…7673 | No | 2,295 | 84.7¢ | $2.18K | Break-even−$0.50 per $100 · 777 bets |
| 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | 44,404 | 12.3¢ | $2.13K | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 1,946 | 93.0¢ | $1.85K | Losing−$8.60 per $100 · 29,951+ bets · updating |
| quan0xf2ee…c574 | No | 1,922 | 82.4¢ | $1.83K | New33 settled bets |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | No | 1,905 | 90.0¢ | $1.81K | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 22,010 bets |
| aenews20x44c1…ebc1 | Yes | 37,126 | 6.7¢ | $1.78K | Positive+$1.65 per $100 · 4,115 bets |
| awei020x4fad…d264 | No | 1,733 | 83.6¢ | $1.65K | Losing−$2.73 per $100 · 944 bets |
| abze0x8c0d…9d95 | No | 1,710 | 81.7¢ | $1.63K | New57 settled bets |
| dabendangt20xde7d…499e | No | 1,586 | 92.5¢ | $1.51K | Losing−$1.80 per $100 · 1,678 bets |
| wenkaiyn0x8597…d9f1 | No | 1,574 | 70.0¢ | $1.5K | New1 settled bet |
| jack-xiao0xef37…7540 | No | 1,574 | 95.6¢ | $1.5K | Losing−$10.36 per $100 · 312 bets |
| bigshort0x21d5…9925 | No | 1,508 | 84.9¢ | $1.44K | Proven+$2.57 per $100 · 533 bets |
| OneBadBet0x84f8…0ff2 | No | 1,500 | 92.3¢ | $1.43K | Losing−$1.89 per $100 · 1,486 bets |
| 0x6b12…4933 | No | 1,399 | 83.9¢ | $1.33K | New1 settled bet |
| dumb-trader670xc484…4cd5 | Yes | 20,857 | 13.7¢ | $1K | Positive+$2.24 per $100 · 159 bets |
| Cryptoresearch0x560d…a298 | Yes | 18,000 | 16.0¢ | $864 | New25 settled bets |
| dante890x5397…736b | Yes | 14,185 | 7.0¢ | $681 | New59 settled bets |
| MilkIsGood1240x5251…3da9 | Yes | 10,884 | 10.1¢ | $522 | New34 settled bets |
| charliealmanack0xa3a3…c2f9 | Yes | 10,000 | 16.0¢ | $480 | Proven+$10.37 per $100 · 180 bets |
| 0x2559…2032 | Yes | 8,875 | 18.4¢ | $426 | New23 settled bets |
| dada43430xc473…adaa | Yes | 8,057 | 17.9¢ | $387 | New0 settled bets |
| Aaaaaguess0x3bea…f95a | Yes | 6,250 | 16.0¢ | $300 | Losing−$10.45 per $100 · 372 bets |
| troim0x4a2b…af20 | Yes | 6,000 | 6.2¢ | $288 | Positive+$2.88 per $100 · 1,252 bets |
| GodsGrace0x18f2…6878 | Yes | 5,750 | 15.3¢ | $276 | New20 settled bets |
| mazdaahura0x9da4…7403 | Yes | 5,604 | 17.9¢ | $269 | New38 settled bets |
| idkwhattodowithmyscrip0xb3d6…5d3e | Yes | 5,550 | 18.0¢ | $266 | New0 settled bets |
| 0x1856…506e | Yes | 5,267 | 9.1¢ | $253 | New17 settled bets |
| Seluj0x7f20…086a | Yes | 5,137 | 6.4¢ | $247 | Proven+$15.61 per $100 · 267 bets |
| MoneyMachineLupLup0x8215…039f | Yes | 4,924 | 10.8¢ | $236 | New13 settled bets |
| Betmeonce0x6326…01d6 | Yes | 4,604 | 7.8¢ | $221 | Proven+$20.37 per $100 · 140 bets |
| footpath69230xa8a8…60ef | Yes | 4,226 | 15.3¢ | $203 | New17 settled bets |
| vixien0x5bcd…da15 | Yes | 3,753 | 19.0¢ | $180 | New0 settled bets |
| 0x1f6b…91b9 | Yes | 3,745 | 12.0¢ | $180 | New7 settled bets |
| emiliaa0x57d0…85b0 | Yes | 3,600 | 14.0¢ | $173 | New48 settled bets |
| pretzel0xda73…4d41 | Yes | 3,312 | 6.8¢ | $159 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 167 bets |
| Hanuka0x64c7…14f3 | Yes | 3,286 | 6.1¢ | $158 | New33 settled bets |
| turboff460xe3b4…6fab | Yes | 3,260 | 18.5¢ | $156 | New58 settled bets |
| ddw22220x91ca…0957 | Yes | 3,137 | 7.2¢ | $151 | New8 settled bets |
| 0x15e9…c0d5 | Yes | 3,126 | 16.0¢ | $150 | New8 settled bets |
| paula0xa0xed86…6ee1 | Yes | 3,034 | 18.3¢ | $146 | New94 settled bets |
| cocococococo0xbad2…5296 | Yes | 2,837 | 7.3¢ | $136 | Positive+$1.80 per $100 · 4,082 bets |
| brindi0xb8ea…f294 | Yes | 2,778 | 18.0¢ | $133 | New6 settled bets |
| davtas0xeb5c…903d | Yes | 2,778 | 18.0¢ | $133 | New38 settled bets |
| failstober0x90ed…b5bc | Yes | 2,668 | 17.0¢ | $128 | Proven+$8.51 per $100 · 1,182 bets |
| 0x0a42…617b | Yes | 2,632 | 19.0¢ | $126 | New1 settled bet |
| SwiftShores0x3e3a…49cf | Yes | 2,500 | 20.0¢ | $120 | New59 settled bets |
| Rex4160x9a3f…914a | Yes | 2,409 | 7.0¢ | $116 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 6,881 bets |
| gtowagger0x8639…fb86 | Yes | 2,385 | 18.5¢ | $114 | Break-even+$0.58 per $100 · 1,505 bets |
| fulgenziomayer0xa5ac…1776 | Yes | 2,349 | 21.3¢ | $113 | New66 settled bets |
| esc1944670xe1db…69c8 | Yes | 2,343 | 21.5¢ | $112 | New13 settled bets |
| 0xb838…193f | Yes | 2,152 | 13.9¢ | $103 | New6 settled bets |
| 0x7130…70e4 | Yes | 2,041 | 17.2¢ | $98 | New24 settled bets |
| outcomes0x03c8…0e01 | Yes | 2,000 | 15.0¢ | $96 | Proven+$18.81 per $100 · 882 bets |
| 0x1cdf…af83 | Yes | 2,000 | 18.0¢ | $96 | New7 settled bets |
| jacoboliver0x03ba…91c0 | Yes | 1,984 | 7.6¢ | $95 | New18 settled bets |
| 0x37af…00fe | Yes | 1,857 | 8.4¢ | $89 | New16 settled bets |
| combrogi0x96d1…2ebc | Yes | 1,763 | 11.7¢ | $85 | New21 settled bets |
| 0x14e8…f51a | Yes | 1,745 | 22.9¢ | $84 | New1 settled bet |
| wykchem0xe927…ca72 | Yes | 1,620 | 17.9¢ | $78 | New12 settled bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.