Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 6.4¢ | +2.1 pts |
| $10,000 | 17.4¢ | +13.1 pts |
| $100,000 | 56.1¢ | +51.8 pts |
| $500,000 | 69.7¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 4¢.
About $1.5K can be bought and $378 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 4.4¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 15:08 UTC.
27 traders bet this week.