Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
China coup attempt before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 20:53 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| xcnstrategy0xcce2…d58b | No | 6,131 | 90.0¢ | $5.9K | Proven+$13.80 per $100 · 215 bets |
| HAOI0x6666…db92 | No | 2,186 | 95.3¢ | $2.1K | New24 settled bets |
| werffdsfa0x7723…6989 | No | 1,911 | 96.6¢ | $1.84K | — |
| Daviddu08130xed7b…1ba9 | No | 1,728 | 97.0¢ | $1.66K | New55 settled bets |
| redwallstreet0x1c68…4faf | No | 1,209 | 92.1¢ | $1.16K | — |
| quan0xf2ee…c574 | No | 1,101 | 90.8¢ | $1.06K | New33 settled bets |
| NewJake0x0ea1…584c | No | 1,000 | 95.6¢ | $962 | New37 settled bets |
| MyTeacher1gxxyy0x3a01…c89e | No | 961 | 96.0¢ | $925 | — |
| Ari.C0xa38d…b8a4 | No | 645 | 94.0¢ | $620 | — |
| 0xrc0x4004…c40b | No | 631 | 91.0¢ | $607 | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 340 bets |
| BerkshireHahaway0x7f29…0760 | No | 621 | 94.6¢ | $597 | Break-even−$0.10 per $100 · 1,492 bets |
| 0x3283…1da9 | No | 510 | 90.2¢ | $491 | Losing−$15.00 per $100 · 109 bets |
| 4zyrZabz1yZ40x0a68…c1b0 | No | 510 | 91.3¢ | $491 | — |
| 64MGX75VLQ0xf4d0…4637 | No | 500 | 95.1¢ | $481 | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 1,100 bets |
| 5ea0a0x0e86…0c78 | No | 484 | 91.0¢ | $466 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 325 | 95.8¢ | $312 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,907 bets |
| zal20120x4199…2dcc | No | 322 | 95.2¢ | $310 | — |
| 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b040x9507…7b04 | No | 300 | 92.1¢ | $289 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,709 bets |
| Redpacket0x2ba0…6bc1 | No | 300 | 94.7¢ | $289 | Losing−$19.65 per $100 · 157 bets |
| shilei070x8b22…47a1 | No | 253 | 91.3¢ | $244 | — |
| IverWong0x22bd…a216 | No | 251 | 97.0¢ | $242 | — |
| PP45030x2568…ad68 | Yes | 5,572 | 6.7¢ | $212 | — |
| sanhu10x3c5e…148c | No | 211 | 95.0¢ | $203 | — |
| medel10xff2e…b5c5 | No | 210 | 92.0¢ | $202 | — |
| 0xc000…c9b2 | No | 207 | 97.5¢ | $199 | — |
| cumprod0x3ffe…e125 | No | 200 | 93.1¢ | $192 | — |
| totomato0x024d…3db6 | No | 200 | 96.6¢ | $192 | — |
| louisjackson20110x4f73…9f0f | No | 190 | 93.1¢ | $183 | — |
| keledudu0x850e…08b3 | No | 168 | 93.0¢ | $162 | — |
| 0x8931…a90c | No | 168 | 97.0¢ | $161 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 611 bets |
| 0xdc27…4fa6 | No | 158 | 95.1¢ | $152 | — |
| JetXBTcn0xa206…2cad | No | 111 | 92.0¢ | $107 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 155 bets |
| Stephen180x98a3…ec20 | No | 108 | 92.2¢ | $104 | — |
| dalee6660xf804…a72d | No | 105 | 95.6¢ | $101 | — |
| jhuret20x0b62…06c5 | No | 103 | 97.2¢ | $99 | — |
| Qannson0x30fa…d18b | Yes | 2,544 | 10.0¢ | $97 | New2 settled bets |
| hheyyo0x3ddc…0efd | No | 100 | 97.6¢ | $96 | — |
| chineseguy0x8fbc…9d60 | No | 100 | 97.4¢ | $96 | — |
| zhu01050xac28…19c0 | No | 100 | 90.9¢ | $96 | — |
| 0x1424…c73f | No | 100 | 96.9¢ | $96 | — |
| impossiblee0xf9b9…83b8 | No | 100 | 97.5¢ | $96 | — |
| 0x6ee9…a72c | No | 97 | 95.9¢ | $94 | — |
| luckincoffee0x096a…1f98 | No | 97 | 95.3¢ | $93 | — |
| fermiparadoxy0xdd8e…c072 | No | 83 | 96.3¢ | $80 | New1 settled bet |
| dfert876i0x966a…12e1 | No | 83 | 96.7¢ | $80 | — |
| babylonnn0x6c41…03cd | No | 81 | 95.3¢ | $78 | — |
| Senorpo0xac91…676b | Yes | 1,823 | 6.5¢ | $69 | — |
| taerv5340x30f9…fbfc | No | 69 | 84.9¢ | $66 | — |
| kahramanjon0x516d…a005 | No | 64 | 95.9¢ | $61 | — |
| doodlecroodle0x39b0…6c9e | No | 62 | 95.9¢ | $60 | — |
| 0xd34c…10b4 | Yes | 1,554 | 4.8¢ | $59 | — |
| chetrik0x4356…181d | No | 58 | 96.9¢ | $56 | — |
| cc22220x1a84…8710 | No | 57 | 92.0¢ | $55 | — |
| not-gOaTbAnKeR0x9411…63c7 | Yes | 1,401 | 9.7¢ | $53 | — |
| dylankramer0x0823…b085 | No | 55 | 97.6¢ | $53 | — |
| gambaFanta0xc2aa…79e6 | Yes | 1,304 | 8.5¢ | $50 | — |
| 0x7c6c…e8f1 | Yes | 1,114 | 9.0¢ | $42 | — |
| AlexCimmeria0x21c7…191a | Yes | 1,100 | 9.5¢ | $42 | Losing−$16.65 per $100 · 224 bets |
| 0x810c…9fd5 | Yes | 780 | 6.5¢ | $30 | — |
| wherewindsmeet160xb36a…ee04 | Yes | 600 | 3.5¢ | $23 | — |
| electionplayer0x5fe7…44a2 | Yes | 549 | 9.1¢ | $21 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 540 | 3.3¢ | $21 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| nicetow0x27ca…06f6 | Yes | 510 | 8.5¢ | $19 | — |
| NewWorldConquistador0x907e…8a7c | Yes | 436 | 8.1¢ | $17 | — |
| Agyapro0xbff5…655b | Yes | 420 | 4.8¢ | $16 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 324 bets |
| parliament-5680x9640…283e | Yes | 400 | 2.5¢ | $15 | — |
| memegeorge0xa468…2772 | Yes | 397 | 8.6¢ | $15 | — |
| cc4160x8242…cb6e | Yes | 300 | 4.3¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x3725…f655 | Yes | 290 | 6.9¢ | $11 | — |
| redoak44440xbc4b…a0dd | Yes | 260 | 3.8¢ | $10 | — |
| anothertime0xf5db…a131 | Yes | 251 | 6.8¢ | $10 | — |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 239 | 1.0¢ | $9 | Positive+$11.88 per $100 · 5,339 bets |
| transavai0x03af…33ae | Yes | 231 | 7.3¢ | $9 | — |
| iamderkyi0x63dc…6839 | Yes | 231 | 4.3¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x0107…96fc | Yes | 221 | 4.5¢ | $8 | — |
| dajneem23P0x7fca…1ff7 | Yes | 219 | 9.1¢ | $8 | — |
| billyliu0010x043f…d9e1 | Yes | 217 | 3.5¢ | $8 | — |
| SpencerChiu0x74f8…da22 | Yes | 214 | 4.7¢ | $8 | — |
| jiwfnfasdf0x3e6c…2770 | Yes | 206 | 4.9¢ | $8 | — |
| c5k0x29f1…47c6 | Yes | 205 | 4.7¢ | $8 | — |
| MessyPrediction0x94be…2151 | Yes | 200 | 5.0¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x81ef…4186 | Yes | 198 | 12.6¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x3901…ed0e | Yes | 167 | 6.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xc1a6…3a86 | Yes | 165 | 3.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 4realaz0x2ae7…a975 | Yes | 163 | 4.9¢ | $6 | — |
| adkwaf459141230xd8e7…11ac | Yes | 139 | 6.9¢ | $5 | — |
| fumacando0x0243…b81e | Yes | 130 | 9.3¢ | $5 | — |
| boombioof0x3c35…feeb | Yes | 126 | 7.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xaa3b…80a2 | Yes | 109 | 9.1¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x380c…5658 | Yes | 100 | 10.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x6cdf…aab1 | Yes | 100 | 4.8¢ | $4 | — |
| fhtd8880xbdb9…e76e | Yes | 100 | 5.6¢ | $4 | — |
| zeba1230x91b2…fcc2 | Yes | 100 | 6.5¢ | $4 | — |
| Cyclone0xf454…7ecc | Yes | 90 | 3.1¢ | $3 | — |
| WINMALE0x9081…4774 | Yes | 86 | 4.9¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x5533…51ba | Yes | 82 | 3.4¢ | $3 | Positive+$3.29 per $100 · 18,335 bets |
| aidabing0xd9af…aea8 | Yes | 75 | 8.6¢ | $3 | — |
| DEGENKHAN0x21d0…ce91 | Yes | 69 | 7.3¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 2,668 bets |
| lolkeklolbandit0xc85f…e8be | Yes | 69 | 10.0¢ | $3 | — |
| MiloBB0xd0ec…696b | Yes | 61 | 9.9¢ | $2 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.