Market

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Chance of Up
Money on this market
Bet this week
Ends: Oct 13; ended

Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 10:19 UTC. Not financial advice.

Market

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Chance of Up
Money on this market
Bet this week: 442 traders
Ends: Oct 13; ended

Who's really betting

None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.

Top holders after netting each trader's Up shares against their Down shares
Trader	Side	Shares	Bought at	Worth now	Record
CurtsingerMellberg0xdd0e…cb12	Up	70	81.1¢	$70	—
JSChina0xfceb…e8f5	Up	1	83.0¢	$1	—
meralto450x582a…5cb7	Up	0	98.0¢	$0	—
Majjhima-Patipada0x196a…0ff7	Up	0	81.1¢	$0	—
0x3279…b81a	Up	0	71.0¢	$0	—
0x13c6…4048	Up	0	75.5¢	$0	—
0x33ff…2fe3	Up	0	75.0¢	$0	—
KamelTreiber0x3f4a…037b	Up	0	86.9¢	$0	—
bonl0x9328…37d3	Up	0	74.0¢	$0	—
0x052c…8510	Up	0	68.0¢	$0	—
wqewqa0x5195…d864	Up	0	42.0¢	$0	—
0x51db…d20a	Up	0	80.0¢	$0	—
ls1010xa4dd…c7cb	Up	0	83.0¢	$0	—
M6vT3cL8wK0xd128…b232	Down	500	1.0¢	$0	—
0x6205…4c1e	Down	401	1.0¢	$0	—
alieno680x0bba…bebd	Down	377	1.1¢	$0	—
Eisregen0x5d3c…c298	Down	377	1.1¢	$0	—
Xb6660x14cb…3466	Down	300	41.2¢	$0	—
animal000x55ae…f5df	Down	300	1.0¢	$0	Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 62,637 bets
gogaji0xf5ff…1830	Down	287	16.9¢	$0	—
EZTRADENL20x239e…1c10	Down	201	31.1¢	$0	Break-even+$0.40 per $100 · 27,877 bets
0x601b…4f7f	Down	200	23.2¢	$0	—
0x54ac…ce40	Down	175	22.2¢	$0	—
0xa143…a135	Down	136	1.0¢	$0	—
0xf27d…9a88	Down	118	1.1¢	$0	—
karnegie0x1e95…edf7	Down	101	2.0¢	$0	—
Nurmatovv0x5747…8b6e	Down	100	1.0¢	$0	—
sdsd5500xdcad…dede	Down	100	2.0¢	$0	—
0xe544…707b	Down	100	3.0¢	$0	—
feige110x2e1c…90d2	Down	97	49.0¢	$0	—
Almiron0x95f6…fbdf	Down	93	55.7¢	$0	—
VarianceDoesntExist0xdced…92c6	Down	89	7.4¢	$0	—
Kathod-Shi-140x1b41…0b56	Down	85	29.5¢	$0	—
mykr0ph0ne0x79a5…38ce	Down	80	9.5¢	$0	—
thesidehustle0x80ef…e019	Down	80	9.5¢	$0	—
0x98e5…5d92	Down	78	37.0¢	$0	—
0x7d8a…217a	Down	76	36.9¢	$0	Positive+$1.21 per $100 · 12,978 bets
138976510x3089…35e4	Down	73	58.4¢	$0	—
0xc323…a9ca	Down	68	59.7¢	$0	—
randomuseris1230x344f…9dec	Down	60	3.2¢	$0	—
beracha70x3f0c…5292	Down	60	29.0¢	$0	—
0x3786…3263	Down	58	14.5¢	$0	—
solvve0xcf79…b6b0	Down	55	3.0¢	$0	—
0x3ffd…60f1	Down	50	3.0¢	$0	—
brickwater0x73ad…ef22	Down	50	9.8¢	$0	Break-even−$0.09 per $100 · 25,747 bets
saeideh1376000x50ef…23a3	Down	46	40.3¢	$0	—
0x9bfb…dc47	Down	45	2.1¢	$0	—
Carboncruncher0xd94a…6236	Down	41	57.9¢	$0	—
haveseendate0x5215…b02f	Down	40	50.0¢	$0	—
stickman12600x7294…8681	Down	38	17.9¢	$0	—
5465465ihj0xf8ee…d646	Down	31	6.8¢	$0	—
johnnybgoode670x10b0…e4dd	Down	30	35.7¢	$0	—
Ebisu40xba45…e523	Down	29	57.0¢	$0	—
lantian03010x0e78…29d0	Down	27	38.1¢	$0	—
0xfc90…db14	Down	27	38.6¢	$0	—
0xebe6…b969	Down	25	1.0¢	$0	—
atmhibto0x9fd0…30a2	Down	24	17.2¢	$0	—
Crypto3330x2a60…762f	Down	24	51.7¢	$0	—
Honeydown0xa4c1…0f60	Down	24	22.2¢	$0	—
phaller12120x3e96…b306	Down	22	50.0¢	$0	—
hehexd690x4805…4739	Down	21	30.0¢	$0	—
0x6f74…ccc5	Down	21	9.6¢	$0	—
0x2194f34879376a060x94f3…32e3	Down	20	2.0¢	$0	—
wp-trading0x314c…d5cd	Down	10	35.5¢	$0	—

Shares = Up minus Down for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.

Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 10:19 UTC. Not financial advice.

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Alerts for Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Alerts for Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Who's really betting

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Who's really betting