Market

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Chance of Up
Money on this market
Bet this week
Ends: Oct 11; ended

Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:54 UTC. Not financial advice.

Market

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Chance of Up
Money on this market
Bet this week: 559 traders
Ends: Oct 11; ended

Who's really betting

of the biggest Up money sits with 3 accounts that hold just as much Down. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.

Top holders after netting each trader's Up shares against their Down shares
Trader	Side	Shares	Bought at	Worth now	Record
oryxoman0x7ddb…838c	Up	0	54.7¢	$0	—
steadylane140x62e3…8362	Up	0	86.0¢	$0	—
fourcaster0x1f5a…fd2c	Up	0	59.7¢	$0	—
chary010x81dc…9ece	Up	0	87.0¢	$0	—
finaltrade1h0xd87e…d205	Up	0	89.0¢	$0	—
H1Jane0xde4c…6b32	Up	0	82.2¢	$0	—
jhjhjhjhjh0x797f…37e8	Up	0	96.0¢	$0	—
liukuaibinxigua0xd4e0…b12e	Up	0	82.5¢	$0	—
animal000x55ae…f5df	Down	600	1.0¢	$0	Break-even+$0.00 per $100 · 43,720+ bets · updating
maraya0xd1c7…74b5	Down	473	4.3¢	$0	Losing−$3.26 per $100 · 1,070 bets
0x6205…4c1e	Down	401	1.0¢	$0	—
GAMELEL0x43e2…22d2	Down	370	55.8¢	$0	—
Theusername0x24be…96c0	Down	358	59.2¢	$0	—
bblackk0xe05c…452a	Down	322	56.7¢	$0	—
LuckyPoRuski-btc-new0x8d3d…db44	Down	200	1.0¢	$0	—
ApexUpDown0x32e0…58be	Down	197	77.2¢	$0	—
0xe49f…a066	Down	180	54.0¢	$0	—
0xa143…a135	Down	162	1.0¢	$0	—
mia11110x720b…d2cd	Down	135	1.0¢	$0	—
jmanfrm40xa17e…efbc	Down	132	8.8¢	$0	—
not-epstein0xe18b…db44	Down	120	2.0¢	$0	—
0xf27d…9a88	Down	118	1.1¢	$0	—
DerNichtskoenner0xab06…ce5d	Down	106	2.0¢	$0	—
karnegie0x1e95…edf7	Down	100	2.0¢	$0	—
myE3000x101f…8e1a	Down	100	67.2¢	$0	—
Svitaar5070x1fef…7a19	Down	100	20.1¢	$0	—
Nurmatovv0x5747…8b6e	Down	100	1.0¢	$0	—
0x5b53…5c6c	Down	100	1.1¢	$0	—
sdsd5500xdcad…dede	Down	100	2.0¢	$0	—
Anachronic0xe527…0648	Down	100	1.1¢	$0	—
0xe544…707b	Down	100	3.0¢	$0	—
CGonion0x21fe…c3cc	Down	96	53.7¢	$0	—
cEgJessica1110xbc38…bcce	Down	90	32.6¢	$0	—
aotuma0x62f4…c090	Down	90	49.7¢	$0	—
0xe7c6…2b25	Down	85	63.3¢	$0	—
vJyVlFVJnRKcaVqu0x1223…8522	Down	84	34.7¢	$0	—
cjcjxdwmj0xb1a7…c595	Down	77	53.7¢	$0	—
delphi-oracle0x0944…358f	Down	76	19.2¢	$0	—
January050xe60d…56aa	Down	75	42.7¢	$0	—
0xebe6…b969	Down	75	2.7¢	$0	—
Aultramind20x58e8…9f90	Down	68	34.1¢	$0	—
Liubot0x3112…b2f6	Down	64	60.7¢	$0	—
Alfabaguera0x4d0f…68e1	Down	64	52.8¢	$0	—
Aultramind0xc0cd…5941	Down	61	32.5¢	$0	—
lucky7290x49da…bfd0	Down	54	58.2¢	$0	—
mrzzzzzzz0x6f5e…9c8d	Down	50	2.0¢	$0	—
syxbyq0xbc7d…066a	Down	50	2.0¢	$0	—
0xc323…a9ca	Down	49	65.6¢	$0	—
Ars.Conjectandi0x705c…7484	Down	48	43.7¢	$0	—
solove0xf09f…1ca0	Down	45	3.0¢	$0	—
0rtu0xa581…a14c	Down	42	51.0¢	$0	—
0x57d9…7686	Down	42	48.2¢	$0	—
Helsing5550x2b6e…d6ee	Down	40	50.0¢	$0	—
o.rey0xf944…ef91	Down	38	53.9¢	$0	—
botmy0xbce1…197a	Down	38	51.0¢	$0	—
sixty-two0xeec7…2fa1	Down	36	66.6¢	$0	—
zboodle20260x3d1b…a695	Down	35	53.7¢	$0	—
3 accounts bet both sides equally · 56 shares each side · ShowHide Jairtrespa0x21ba…7cce55 Up · 55 Down 0xd288…62201 Up · 1 Down 0x3224…52d80 Up · 0 Down

Shares = Up minus Down for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.

Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:54 UTC. Not financial advice.

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Alerts for Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Alerts for Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Who's really betting

Who's really betting

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