Market

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Chance of Up
Money on this market
Bet this week
Ends: Oct 11; ended

Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:32 UTC. Not financial advice.

Market

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Chance of Up
Money on this market
Bet this week: 194 traders
Ends: Oct 11; ended

Who's really betting

None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.

Top holders after netting each trader's Up shares against their Down shares
Trader	Side	Shares	Bought at	Worth now	Record
fearofzg0xdf0f…1879	Down	21	34.5¢	$21	—
TheWhaleKing0xf0dd…ba35	Down	1	98.0¢	$1	—
caldren190x5b84…38d4	Down	1	96.2¢	$1	—
renford180xe80c…4bd8	Down	1	97.0¢	$1	—
Annaklychev0x6b6b…ab4a	Down	0	52.2¢	$0	—
steadylane140x62e3…8362	Down	0	95.5¢	$0	—
minusalpha10x6c15…7d2d	Up	1,623	5.1¢	$0	—
tyiaois0x90ae…bb56	Up	400	1.0¢	$0	—
theone123450xbdaa…fd60	Up	300	6.2¢	$0	—
Svitaar5070x1fef…7a19	Up	294	10.6¢	$0	—
0xde3d…6b1f	Up	227	11.7¢	$0	—
pnishimwe0x5931…ad3e	Up	158	4.8¢	$0	—
SchroedingerBets0x5cac…58de	Up	120	4.3¢	$0	—
itsonlyamatteroftime0x664a…fc5f	Up	105	48.0¢	$0	Losing−$6.69 per $100 · 45,446 bets
Drnikii0x630f…b98f	Up	100	54.1¢	$0	—
curie0xd1ed…d7cb	Up	89	3.2¢	$0	Losing−$12.13 per $100 · 33,041+ bets · updating
0x7c54…6c48	Up	84	1.0¢	$0	—
Robotron-P0xc7aa…5b78	Up	79	50.0¢	$0	—
houssa0xe52d…dba3	Up	63	68.2¢	$0	—
noisyduck0xe349…2147	Up	60	4.3¢	$0	—
hwidelance0x24ce…da46	Up	57	11.8¢	$0	—
irnwl0x9184…9f9f	Up	53	25.0¢	$0	—
0x50c5…1611	Up	50	10.0¢	$0	—
hanspost0x0999…b4e2	Up	48	38.0¢	$0	—
9e1Ac10x9c3c…7067	Up	45	18.7¢	$0	—
Robotron.40x2f8b…ba14	Up	40	50.0¢	$0	—
0xb9a3…99e6	Up	39	52.5¢	$0	—
Gozi0xd61e…c34f	Up	35	22.9¢	$0	Losing−$31.47 per $100 · 7,143 bets
stnwl0x64c7…985f	Up	30	4.0¢	$0	—
0x1506…e3d3	Up	30	14.8¢	$0	—
81d6610x2d53…f8dd	Up	30	18.0¢	$0	—
blue.birds0xb958…f513	Up	30	10.6¢	$0	—
358cd30xc854…1d79	Up	30	18.0¢	$0	—
anabo10xd82a…0db0	Up	30	21.1¢	$0	—
hfrozendancer0xe419…8aed	Up	24	54.7¢	$0	—
AlphaPredict10x726b…9daa	Up	22	37.0¢	$0	—
0x0755…f0ae	Up	20	1.0¢	$0	—
3489Pnjoro0x6b8c…74f0	Up	20	18.0¢	$0	—
boutrosghali0xf173…18c0	Up	15	68.5¢	$0	—
BackToProfit0xf875…814d	Up	15	66.6¢	$0	—
cnmgz0x2e95…398f	Up	15	3.0¢	$0	—
0xde38…eed8	Up	14	15.0¢	$0	—
unhedged-strat20x2a97…0227	Up	12	10.6¢	$0	—
FAJXAW0xd4f7…23dc	Up	11	68.5¢	$0	—
momomooo0x2848…0986	Up	11	19.0¢	$0	—
0x691f…877a	Up	11	6.0¢	$0	—
nefariouskermit0x2a6f…2351	Up	10	1.0¢	$0	—
0xaaab…b2fc	Up	10	3.0¢	$0	—
0xc0a6…5bdf	Up	10	3.0¢	$0	—
hyperjack0xc32a…a748	Up	10	54.5¢	$0	—
0xdbf1…563b	Up	10	15.9¢	$0	—
0xb5e7…da4c	Up	9	41.6¢	$0	—
momo-10x01af…e285	Up	8	55.7¢	$0	—
XPK1180x7ddf…5005	Up	8	61.7¢	$0	—
0xea59…f29d	Up	7	78.2¢	$0	—
TrumpWasPricedIn0x5eae…0a34	Up	6	17.0¢	$0	—

Shares = Up minus Down for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.

Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:32 UTC. Not financial advice.

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Alerts for Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Alerts for Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Who's really betting

Who's really betting