Market

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Chance of Up
Money on this market
Bet this week
Ends: Oct 11; ended

Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:54 UTC. Not financial advice.

Market

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Chance of Up
Money on this market
Bet this week: 273 traders
Ends: Oct 11; ended

Who's really betting

None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.

Top holders after netting each trader's Up shares against their Down shares
Trader	Side	Shares	Bought at	Worth now	Record
commander...0x7728…31a8	Down	5,000	0.4¢	$0	—
staycalmalways0x049e…7aab	Down	5,000	0.4¢	$0	—
flexer78-arb0xf104…5407	Down	3,038	0.2¢	$0	—
0x4b4a…6223	Down	1,625	5.7¢	$0	—
wrong-gear0x4241…cbc5	Down	585	1.0¢	$0	—
Antonio1729-20x672c…881b	Down	475	12.6¢	$0	—
tyiaois0x90ae…bb56	Down	400	1.0¢	$0	—
Eisregen0x5d3c…c298	Down	357	1.7¢	$0	—
alieno680x0bba…bebd	Down	343	1.7¢	$0	—
twappin0xb23a…755c	Down	275	0.8¢	$0	—
fpone20x6fcb…13ab	Down	255	1.0¢	$0	—
theone123450xbdaa…fd60	Down	249	1.5¢	$0	—
Svitaar5070x1fef…7a19	Down	230	12.7¢	$0	—
WittyPeach10x6845…be3e	Down	222	1.9¢	$0	—
drowp0x355d…17c4	Down	194	1.0¢	$0	—
Annaklychev0x6b6b…ab4a	Down	164	56.2¢	$0	—
deepmoat0xc6ac…3778	Down	161	1.1¢	$0	—
noisyduck0xe349…2147	Down	160	1.1¢	$0	—
leesiin0x7612…0073	Down	155	9.4¢	$0	—
ghghghnd50xddfa…915d	Down	150	9.9¢	$0	—
B-15-T0xa4eb…393f	Down	148	1.0¢	$0	—
0xdc43…ce91	Down	136	0.8¢	$0	—
throwthrow0xf6a1…504a	Down	124	0.4¢	$0	—
itsonlyamatteroftime0x664a…fc5f	Down	122	48.9¢	$0	Losing−$6.69 per $100 · 45,446 bets
spcork20x17e3…1dd9	Down	107	1.1¢	$0	—
0x3dcd…913d	Down	102	3.0¢	$0	—
Gumbytm0x2bba…2d0b	Down	100	50.0¢	$0	—
misspolly0x174e…86bc	Down	96	52.0¢	$0	—
0x7c54…6c48	Down	84	1.0¢	$0	—
CnR890x071a…7400	Down	74	23.2¢	$0	—
ant62580x1f64…d313	Down	65	2.0¢	$0	—
0x7d30…cdbe	Down	58	9.2¢	$0	—
SchroedingerBets0x5cac…58de	Down	58	10.4¢	$0	—
Huracan30xc778…c2bc	Down	56	9.6¢	$0	—
0xfe22…58be	Down	53	31.3¢	$0	—
potycoon0x7412…ee8b	Down	53	9.9¢	$0	—
Proff.Snape0x646f…c762	Down	47	7.6¢	$0	—
Little-big0xe8d6…c964	Down	46	59.2¢	$0	Positive+$38.56 per $100 · 47,040 bets
0x8139…b777	Down	45	12.1¢	$0	—
Tabuds0x1652…96dc	Down	40	10.5¢	$0	—
asm1x0xd75c…5ba2	Down	38	52.0¢	$0	—
nxshxkun0x5460…77b6	Down	37	6.4¢	$0	—
Klagglehuzz0xde44…84b7	Down	34	11.3¢	$0	—
yongzhuanziben0070x3020…df2b	Down	30	11.7¢	$0	—
0x7275…8b45	Down	30	8.5¢	$0	—
raulbb860xba15…e6a0	Down	28	55.7¢	$0	—
cnmgz0x2e95…398f	Down	25	3.4¢	$0	—
0x579e…5913	Down	20	10.8¢	$0	—
0x618e…7be1	Down	20	1.0¢	$0	—
shifro8238777820x64c0…65c3	Down	20	42.2¢	$0	—
0xb5e7…da4c	Down	6	28.6¢	$0	—

Shares = Up minus Down for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.

Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:54 UTC. Not financial advice.

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Alerts for Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Alerts for Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

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