Market

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Chance of Up
Money on this market
Bet this week
Ends: Oct 11; ended

Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 20:47 UTC. Not financial advice.

Market

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Chance of Up
Money on this market
Bet this week: 504 traders
Proven traders lean: by money on each side
Ends: Oct 11; ended

Who's really betting

None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.

Proven traders, money on each side

0 proven traders are on Up, 1 on Down. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.

Top holders after netting each trader's Up shares against their Down shares
Trader	Side	Shares	Bought at	Worth now	Record
0x98a5…65be	Down	0	68.3¢	$0	—
0x97e1…6825	Down	0	67.0¢	$0	—
0x8e41faaaaea1b6eae4546eca7713066dc050x29de…d9e6	Down	0	61.6¢	$0	Proven+$6.54 per $100 · 9,876 bets
0x6ed2…e690	Down	0	90.6¢	$0	—
liukuaibinxigua0xd4e0…b12e	Down	0	92.0¢	$0	—
cajfdsc0x53c5…1f5f	Down	0	69.9¢	$0	—
sandearnn0xd36a…b03c	Down	0	72.4¢	$0	—
stnwl0x64c7…985f	Down	0	85.7¢	$0	—
0x126c…3bce	Down	0	61.9¢	$0	—
sanderrrrrra0x1fd5…3b05	Down	0	74.9¢	$0	—
0x476a…5ff2	Down	0	74.0¢	$0	—
itsonlyamatteroftime0x664a…fc5f	Up	13,962	38.3¢	$0	Losing−$6.69 per $100 · 45,446 bets
hdbfh0x1501…3581	Up	1,500	1.1¢	$0	—
mihaXd0xa823…6215	Up	1,255	9.9¢	$0	—
0x06b2…9f35	Up	1,124	36.6¢	$0	—
Danik1234560xf7c4…73ee	Up	946	34.9¢	$0	—
0x0801…bdef	Up	750	38.6¢	$0	—
tridentes0x0835…ab92	Up	725	4.1¢	$0	—
Hsilverbasher0x2ed9…f271	Up	472	11.9¢	$0	Positive+$5.84 per $100 · 49,860+ bets · updating
huazhongren0x594f…a861	Up	400	18.0¢	$0	—
tyiaois0x90ae…bb56	Up	400	1.0¢	$0	—
0xaf0f…6e5c	Up	364	32.7¢	$0	—
fpone20x6fcb…13ab	Up	324	5.1¢	$0	—
cjgfd5ff0xf290…0e69	Up	321	12.8¢	$0	—
rear0x5380…d4b3	Up	300	33.0¢	$0	—
hevenshine0x9858…0173	Up	279	35.2¢	$0	—
dgg330x9ea2…7388	Up	247	7.5¢	$0	—
yuewei8880x6620…6c63	Up	238	7.8¢	$0	—
glacer0x41f4…ee16	Up	230	38.9¢	$0	—
Robotron-P0xc7aa…5b78	Up	214	51.0¢	$0	—
LADivorceLawyer0x6a34…90f2	Up	198	16.4¢	$0	—
tanaros0x22b3…a018	Up	183	5.3¢	$0	—
dsaASDadsd0xa099…b1d4	Up	180	3.5¢	$0	—
0xdc43…ce91	Up	172	5.1¢	$0	—
0x52b2…653d	Up	167	6.5¢	$0	—
earnnnmoresand0x5a22…7e6d	Up	167	12.7¢	$0	—
Givemewinpls0x51db…3b7a	Up	161	13.2¢	$0	—
Dora-Dura0x507c…c876	Up	150	39.6¢	$0	—
GoodRecipient0xc173…26ee	Up	140	35.7¢	$0	Break-even−$0.33 per $100 · 29,659 bets
0x5258…b334	Up	135	39.7¢	$0	—
spcork20x17e3…1dd9	Up	134	5.2¢	$0	—
itwillworkout0x6e0a…3235	Up	117	40.2¢	$0	—
yuan010x668d…b4cb	Up	109	8.5¢	$0	—
Predict900xfb12…d1b3	Up	103	1.2¢	$0	—
0x0933…567a	Up	100	5.3¢	$0	—
rottenleaf240x8816…567e	Up	100	14.8¢	$0	—
letzgo110xe91f…3438	Up	99	34.5¢	$0	—
zimoa0x6798…8c6b	Up	91	32.5¢	$0	—
Tabuds0x1652…96dc	Up	87	7.4¢	$0	—
hfrozendancer0xe419…8aed	Up	86	53.7¢	$0	—
0x7c54…6c48	Up	84	1.0¢	$0	—
antsaslyku0x3c58…776b	Up	77	38.5¢	$0	Losing−$17.30 per $100 · 49,893+ bets · updating
1515151515150x5f10…ba41	Up	77	35.0¢	$0	—
0x3c03…474f	Up	76	27.5¢	$0	—
0xac37…b46b	Up	66	39.8¢	$0	—
llloo43l0x8f9f…04b5	Up	62	9.7¢	$0	—
LePetitJambones0x3373…50c4	Up	62	36.2¢	$0	—
0x7d30…cdbe	Up	62	17.2¢	$0	—
desyat0x8c2c…40d3	Up	57	11.0¢	$0	—
undisturbed0xe4bd…9660	Up	56	14.3¢	$0	—
0xc2c6…0c32	Up	54	45.3¢	$0	—
0x3338…86e4	Up	3	31.5¢	$0	—
0x45e8…7451	Up	3	31.5¢	$0	—
0xc165…cbd8	Up	3	31.5¢	$0	—
kiss-my-face0xe052…4a2c	Up	2	50.0¢	$0	—

Shares = Up minus Down for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.

Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 20:47 UTC. Not financial advice.

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Alerts for Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Alerts for Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Who's really betting

Who's really betting

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