Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:35 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renan20300x88c4…129a | Yes | 208 | 83.3¢ | $174 | Proven+$11.66 per $100 · 471 bets |
| buoys0x7e35…1a6c | Yes | 100 | 83.0¢ | $84 | Positive+$11.47 per $100 · 2,029 bets |
| Antony820xfd39…9ec8 | No | 501 | 17.7¢ | $80 | — |
| SuperavitFiscal0xeb49…693e | Yes | 83 | 82.6¢ | $70 | Losing−$5.42 per $100 · 344 bets |
| scar.one0x69fa…04d0 | Yes | 60 | 86.5¢ | $50 | — |
| CosmicCedar0xdacf…3c74 | Yes | 54 | 78.0¢ | $45 | — |
| erFiodena0x961b…2b00 | Yes | 35 | 71.0¢ | $30 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 20 | 71.0¢ | $17 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 20 | 82.0¢ | $16 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 126,571+ bets · updating |
| BKno950x0d93…8cbe | Yes | 19 | 81.6¢ | $16 | — |
| 0x04b3…1b7e | Yes | 12 | 82.6¢ | $10 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 62 | 23.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$2.85 per $100 · 108,352+ bets · updating |
| 0x6123…8b33 | Yes | 12 | 85.5¢ | $10 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 11 | 69.0¢ | $9 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| jefgb0x257f…8c08 | Yes | 8 | 82.6¢ | $7 | — |
| congmqian-gendan0x9e16…7a42 | Yes | 5 | 85.5¢ | $4 | — |
| Marco27250x012b…4745 | Yes | 5 | 87.5¢ | $4 | — |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | No | 20 | 48.0¢ | $3 | — |
| D2222222220x8998…2707 | No | 20 | 48.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x9d56…eb97 | No | 20 | 49.0¢ | $3 | — |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | No | 20 | 48.0¢ | $3 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 3 | 84.0¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Forch0x6ca0…e59d | No | 16 | 15.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x86aa…2682 | Yes | 2 | 82.6¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x870a…6c6e | Yes | 2 | 82.6¢ | $2 | — |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | Yes | 2 | 82.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| random-random1230xa1cc…fa62 | Yes | 1 | 82.6¢ | $1 | — |
| tetestre0x4108…b113 | Yes | 1 | 83.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xa39f…fbdb | No | 5 | 13.0¢ | $1 | — |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 1 | 83.0¢ | $0 | — |
| GoodTillDate0x90a9…1bf1 | Yes | 1 | 82.0¢ | $0 | — |
| greedcash0x8ff1…996c | Yes | 0 | 71.0¢ | $0 | — |
| rexcom0xde09…dbde | No | 0 | 18.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.