Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 21:17 UTC. Not financial advice.
Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.
of the biggest Up money sits with 3 accounts that hold just as much Down. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Up, 1 on Down. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| trulyalya10xbf5f…c035 | Up | 5,345 | 56.2¢ | $2.43K | — |
| easyclap0x71a7…6fcf | Down | 3,990 | 48.1¢ | $2.17K | Proven+$4.49 per $100 · 5,660 bets |
Shares = Up minus Down for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| ftrxc64afn0x726f…d8e7 |
| Down |
| 641 |
| 54.8¢ |
| $349 |
| Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 4,811 bets |
| funnygamess0xffa9…db6c | Down | 559 | 55.3¢ | $305 | — |
| Gennaro6z0xb93e…b67a | Up | 620 | 49.0¢ | $282 | — |
| blancnoirchat0x0333…f234 | Up | 500 | 40.0¢ | $228 | Break-even−$0.96 per $100 · 3,244 bets |
3 accounts bet both sides equally · 720 shares each side · Show
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Bitcoin price · Oct 14 · 289 events · $29.1K in play