Market · 6 of 11 outcomes
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 13?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x06dc…4524 | No | 5,047 | 90.2¢ | $4.67K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 24,362 bets |
| 0xb6fe…7394 | No | 1,681 | 87.4¢ | $1.55K | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 8,915 bets |
| gt1970x6fd0…a85b | No | 760 | 92.1¢ | $703 | — |
| coconutsteaksauce0xd04e…41b8 | No | 700 | 93.0¢ | $647 | Losing−$3.48 per $100 · 350 bets |
| coinfilippe0x997c…251e | No | 438 | 89.6¢ | $405 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 12,354 bets |
| gobblewobble0x0fe4…01b7 | No | 381 | 88.6¢ | $352 | Break-even+$0.79 per $100 · 3,986 bets |
| WillLin0x0831…dce1 | Yes | 3,683 | 7.2¢ | $276 | — |
| Sadoshi0xe3e5…dd13 | No | 247 | 91.6¢ | $229 | — |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | Yes | 2,791 | 10.3¢ | $209 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 20,706 bets |
| Gambler6650xc281…e079 | No | 200 | 95.3¢ | $185 | — |
| Nicejaguar110xfba4…4cdd | Yes | 2,220 | 13.5¢ | $166 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 119 | 93.0¢ | $110 | Losing−$1.19 per $100 · 86,515+ bets · updating |
| droidchief0xd90b…da7c | No | 110 | 91.6¢ | $102 | — |
| lukatst0x083c…65f2 | No | 60 | 88.4¢ | $56 | — |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | No | 52 | 86.6¢ | $48 | Proven+$13.62 per $100 · 1,672 bets |
| oldcai0xe76b…ad7f | No | 26 | 88.7¢ | $24 | — |
| PBot-100x5d63…9075 | Yes | 316 | 8.1¢ | $24 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 284 | 8.0¢ | $21 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 20 | 89.8¢ | $19 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 44,379+ bets · updating |
| Bullishbullshii0xfb75…d717 | Yes | 185 | 8.6¢ | $14 | — |
| 0xf417…b1be | Yes | 169 | 10.6¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x84d1…7782 | No | 14 | 94.4¢ | $13 | — |
| dexme0x2c32…30f1 | No | 10 | 95.3¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x7845…6775 | No | 10 | 84.9¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x5400…1342 | Yes | 100 | 33.5¢ | $8 | — |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | No | 6 | 85.3¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 25,840 bets |
| 0xe1ba…c53e | No | 5 | 92.5¢ | $5 | — |
| CapyCapybara0x07fe…8d6d | No | 5 | 93.5¢ | $5 | — |
| sixty-two0xeec7…2fa1 | No | 5 | 93.5¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x0a6f…962a | No | 5 | 95.3¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x132f…7cdc | No | 5 | 91.6¢ | $5 | — |
| nobody121380x5d2c…baf2 | No | 5 | 85.9¢ | $5 | — |
| Busss3r00x643b…0361 | No | 5 | 94.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Shiv12190x0d0d…ca21 | Yes | 56 | 16.9¢ | $4 | — |
| -FROMTHEFUTURE-0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | 30 | 6.4¢ | $2 | Losing−$12.39 per $100 · 523 bets |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 20 | 7.4¢ | $2 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 30,060+ bets · updating |
| Kadro330x483a…fecb | Yes | 17 | 6.4¢ | $1 | — |
| Dany810xf94c…603e | Yes | 14 | 7.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5065…66c3 | No | 1 | 92.5¢ | $1 | — |
| helvetic-samba0x2bc8…b4da | Yes | 14 | 6.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.14 per $100 · 2,080 bets |
| Grassioti0x99b7…88c8 | Yes | 11 | 20.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x27fb…171b | Yes | 5 | 21.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Crayon0xc95c…5e0b | Yes | 5 | 33.5¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Bitcoin price · Oct 13 · 13 events · $43.9K in play