83,600

Decided by

The market resolves "Yes" if the Close price of the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle ending at the title's time and date is higher than the title's price.§1

Not higher than price

Otherwise, the market resolves to "No".§2

Only Binance counts

The market is about the Binance BTC/USDT price, not prices from other exchanges or trading pairs.§4

Price precision

Price precision is set by the number of decimal places in the source.§5

Counted

The "Close" price of the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle ending at the title's time and date.§1

Source

Binance BTC/USDT "Close" prices, with "1h" and "Candles" selected at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT.§3

Closes

Oct 13, 2026 · 19:00 UTC

Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.

Chance of Yes

Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.