Market · 3 of 11 outcomes
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 14?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 13:44 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price · Oct 14 · 7 events · $29.1K in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | 8,203 | 97.6¢ | $8.01K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 24,430 bets |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | Yes | 1,110 | 98.2¢ | $1.08K | Break-even+$0.81 per $100 · 20,764 bets |
| Wont-u-sing-w-me0x4cdb…172c | Yes | 938 | 97.8¢ | $916 | Losing−$1.12 per $100 · 2,704 bets |
| apper0x7fca…ac29 | Yes | 556 | 97.6¢ | $543 | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 5,182 bets |
| Warden8880x7a2e…efb8 | Yes | 185 | 99.0¢ | $181 | — |
| averagerandomman0x8970…36b5 | Yes | 152 | 98.0¢ | $148 | Break-even+$0.29 per $100 · 23,479 bets |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | Yes | 119 | 83.5¢ | $117 | Proven+$13.51 per $100 · 1,691 bets |
| 0xb6fe…7394 | No | 4,312 | 2.5¢ | $101 | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 8,982 bets |
| Pellepele0x17db…c1e8 | Yes | 100 | 97.6¢ | $98 | Positive+$1.51 per $100 · 264 bets |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 100 | 97.3¢ | $98 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| gt1970x6fd0…a85b | No | 3,004 | 2.8¢ | $71 | Positive+$1.72 per $100 · 6,907 bets |
| anna0030xe044…e14c | No | 2,248 | 2.4¢ | $53 | New22 settled bets |
| 0xf4fe…f6e7 | Yes | 20 | 97.7¢ | $20 | — |
| coinfilippe0x997c…251e | No | 591 | 2.2¢ | $14 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 12,444 bets |
| ijio0xdc2b…7251 | Yes | 12 | 98.2¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x7845…6775 | Yes | 12 | 84.9¢ | $12 | Positive+$121.86 per $100 · 722 bets |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | Yes | 11 | 98.1¢ | $11 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 27,486 bets |
| 0xf4d5…8e23 | No | 450 | 2.5¢ | $11 | — |
| woshisb0x295f…4edb | No | 328 | 1.4¢ | $8 | Break-even−$0.02 per $100 · 1,189 bets |
| 0x7ad3…51f3 | Yes | 7 | 97.9¢ | $7 | New42 settled bets |
| 0xe1ba…c53e | Yes | 6 | 89.6¢ | $6 | — |
| sixty-two0xeec7…2fa1 | Yes | 6 | 89.7¢ | $5 | — |
| insulano0xf4c2…5c65 | Yes | 4 | 97.6¢ | $4 | — |
| MyLastStand0x419f…e853 | No | 132 | 2.4¢ | $3 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | No | 116 | 1.7¢ | $3 | Losing−$7.53 per $100 · 269,589+ bets · updating |
| 0x41be…8909 | No | 106 | 5.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 1968743532780xab15…46e5 | No | 60 | 1.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xdbe5…94b3 | No | 60 | 15.9¢ | $1 | — |
| ArtIronman0xb060…9572 | No | 59 | 19.0¢ | $1 | — |
| PBot-100x5d63…9075 | No | 40 | 7.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.38 per $100 · 49,890+ bets · updating |
| ManakeMega0x4176…fd86 | No | 29 | 18.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.91 per $100 · 905 bets |
| zzzgoodwill10x9527…f108 | No | 5 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.