Market · 2 of 11 outcomes
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 13?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:59 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | 7,500 | 95.6¢ | $7.42K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 24,362 bets |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | Yes | 2,811 | 98.6¢ | $2.78K | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 20,706 bets |
| Wont-u-sing-w-me0x4cdb…172c | Yes | 1,548 | 98.3¢ | $1.53K | — |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | Yes | 1,115 | 81.1¢ | $1.1K | Proven+$13.62 per $100 · 1,672 bets |
| chet0100x914e…dea4 | Yes | 1,010 | 98.5¢ | $1K | — |
| Pellepele0x17db…c1e8 | Yes | 813 | 98.3¢ | $805 | — |
| GoodLuck688860x2858…119d | Yes | 619 | 98.5¢ | $612 | — |
| apper0x7fca…ac29 | Yes | 213 | 95.6¢ | $211 | — |
| averagerandomman0x8970…36b5 | Yes | 204 | 98.7¢ | $202 | Break-even+$0.30 per $100 · 23,353 bets |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 100 | 98.9¢ | $99 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 44,379+ bets · updating |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 80 | 98.7¢ | $79 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| DXMfE1CTkJ8fRps6yiEuTbeMyWzJ80x4aba…f791 | Yes | 79 | 98.7¢ | $78 | — |
| 0x76d9…205a | No | 6,058 | 1.7¢ | $64 | — |
| 0xb6fe…7394 | No | 4,209 | 4.8¢ | $44 | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 8,915 bets |
| gt1970x6fd0…a85b | No | 2,914 | 6.2¢ | $31 | — |
| bxsaos0x3b88…a3da | Yes | 26 | 98.4¢ | $26 | — |
| cactusnoodle0xd454…d749 | Yes | 25 | 98.7¢ | $25 | — |
| scott220xce97…4f56 | Yes | 24 | 80.8¢ | $24 | — |
| CHAIN-19930x914b…e406 | Yes | 20 | 95.0¢ | $20 | — |
| anna0030xe044…e14c | No | 1,386 | 1.3¢ | $15 | New22 settled bets |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | Yes | 12 | 98.6¢ | $12 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 25,840 bets |
| 0xe1ba…c53e | Yes | 12 | 82.8¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x7845…6775 | Yes | 12 | 86.1¢ | $12 | — |
| elevate-1.6180xd0ea…b2d5 | Yes | 11 | 91.3¢ | $11 | — |
| insulano0xf4c2…5c65 | Yes | 10 | 99.0¢ | $10 | — |
| ijio0xdc2b…7251 | Yes | 10 | 98.5¢ | $10 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 9 | 98.7¢ | $9 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,903 bets |
| 0x84b9…7f7f | Yes | 8 | 98.7¢ | $8 | — |
| 0xf4d5…8e23 | No | 600 | 1.8¢ | $6 | — |
| havoc8040x6f74…fa8b | Yes | 6 | 83.7¢ | $6 | — |
| CapyCapybara0x07fe…8d6d | Yes | 6 | 91.4¢ | $5 | — |
| sixty-two0xeec7…2fa1 | Yes | 5 | 91.6¢ | $5 | — |
| 0bmzz0xf390…8a82 | Yes | 5 | 94.4¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x3b1a…ab23 | No | 400 | 1.4¢ | $4 | — |
| zzmb00x283f…5d2f | Yes | 4 | 93.9¢ | $4 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | No | 285 | 4.2¢ | $3 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| coinfilippe0x997c…251e | No | 200 | 1.6¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 12,354 bets |
| Xavyc30x3d68…db93 | No | 105 | 1.5¢ | $1 | — |
| PBot-100x5d63…9075 | No | 79 | 9.5¢ | $1 | — |
| ManakeMega0x4176…fd86 | No | 25 | 18.8¢ | $0 | — |
| asdfasd110x0680…4ba7 | No | 10 | 16.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 6,249 bets |
| lll918dd0x6250…f49a | No | 10 | 16.2¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.83 per $100 · 2,915 bets |
| aaadda0xa840…87f7 | No | 10 | 18.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 4,316 bets |
| zzzgoodwill10x9527…f108 | No | 5 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 0 | 91.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.02 per $100 · 104,544+ bets · updating |
| ddd333aaa0x1dc1…5f5b | No | 1 | 19.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.12 per $100 · 4,786 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Bitcoin price · Oct 13 · 13 events · $43.9K in play