Market · 13 of 16 outcomes
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 22:05 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Casper Ruud, 1 on Felix Auger-Aliassime. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JAMJAMJAM40xe8c4…395d | Felix Auger-Aliassime | 3,433 | 58.0¢ | $2.01K | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 7,027 bets |
| 0x5c54…f1d2 | Felix Auger-Aliassime | 1,394 | 50.0¢ | $815 | Proven+$4.70 per $100 · 18,197 bets |
| 0x0b14…3ca3 | Casper Ruud | 930 | 50.0¢ | $386 | — |
| 0x84d9…76db | Casper Ruud | 833 | 43.2¢ | $346 | — |
| ic4cream0x27f7…44b0 | Casper Ruud | 704 | 43.2¢ | $292 | Positive+$1.97 per $100 · 5,749 bets |
| jgcrm9up97bz0xc46e…9ed8 | Felix Auger-Aliassime | 248 | 58.3¢ | $145 | — |
| paulaoofc0xa772…8686 | Felix Auger-Aliassime | 166 | 60.2¢ | $97 | — |
| 0x1ba7…67a1 | Casper Ruud | 233 | 50.0¢ | $97 | Losing−$5.84 per $100 · 1,794 bets |
| clownly0x7547…d158 | Casper Ruud | 219 | 41.0¢ | $91 | — |
| matt3080x6932…6878 | Casper Ruud | 180 | 43.2¢ | $75 | — |
| DjokodeWish0x8fab…3cab | Casper Ruud | 180 | 43.2¢ | $75 | — |
| 0xa132…6655 | Casper Ruud | 151 | 50.0¢ | $63 | — |
| Robertozavatti0x5b66…582f | Casper Ruud | 119 | 43.2¢ | $49 | — |
| Predebon0x62cd…7b19 | Casper Ruud | 119 | 43.2¢ | $49 | — |
| barabarabara0xa4de…672a | Casper Ruud | 119 | 43.2¢ | $49 | — |
| juliobucci0xd6df…3d15 | Casper Ruud | 119 | 43.2¢ | $49 | — |
| 0xfe91…a084 | Casper Ruud | 119 | 43.2¢ | $49 | — |
| 0xeb27…d16d | Casper Ruud | 113 | 50.0¢ | $47 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Casper Ruud | 110 | 43.2¢ | $46 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| rhuan.goat0x562d…252b | Casper Ruud | 98 | 43.2¢ | $41 | — |
| drex0o0x3d4c…67bc | Casper Ruud | 83 | 43.2¢ | $35 | — |
| botijao0xf33b…d1de | Casper Ruud | 74 | 43.2¢ | $31 | — |
| 0xe13c…1159 | Felix Auger-Aliassime | 51 | 60.5¢ | $30 | — |
| scapeccio0x39a0…00a6 | Felix Auger-Aliassime | 49 | 62.2¢ | $29 | — |
| zlSobrinho0x2175…4b33 | Casper Ruud | 48 | 43.2¢ | $20 | — |
| 0xa21a…940a | Casper Ruud | 48 | 43.2¢ | $20 | — |
| brunoag200xc951…6791 | Casper Ruud | 48 | 43.2¢ | $20 | — |
| 0xd3c3…e829 | Casper Ruud | 48 | 43.2¢ | $20 | — |
| 0xb9ab…9378 | Casper Ruud | 47 | 50.0¢ | $19 | — |
| manuel90090x3101…e57f | Casper Ruud | 43 | 38.0¢ | $18 | — |
| 0x8412…9ae0 | Casper Ruud | 35 | 50.0¢ | $14 | — |
| ShaolinTEA0xe567…f0cf | Casper Ruud | 26 | 43.2¢ | $11 | — |
| FCROUEN0x7b25…10aa | Casper Ruud | 24 | 43.2¢ | $10 | — |
| joaohashi0x06c7…4c42 | Casper Ruud | 24 | 43.2¢ | $10 | — |
| VictorGouvea0x35ba…4390 | Casper Ruud | 24 | 43.2¢ | $10 | — |
| flashzin0x4068…673e | Casper Ruud | 24 | 43.2¢ | $10 | — |
| pdotti120x5b91…eba2 | Casper Ruud | 24 | 43.2¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x6b24…103b | Casper Ruud | 24 | 43.2¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x7488…9cfb | Casper Ruud | 24 | 43.2¢ | $10 | — |
| pepsique0x8bff…cb72 | Casper Ruud | 24 | 43.2¢ | $10 | — |
| Dhyegowill0xb331…9652 | Casper Ruud | 24 | 43.2¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xe91f…7d1d | Casper Ruud | 24 | 43.2¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x841d…75c3 | Casper Ruud | 23 | 50.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xa42d…6451 | Casper Ruud | 23 | 50.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xdb61…36c8 | Casper Ruud | 23 | 50.0¢ | $10 | — |
| Sixfrog0x5e72…b2fe | Felix Auger-Aliassime | 16 | 62.3¢ | $10 | — |
| cazzcilli0xfe85…53c4 | Casper Ruud | 20 | 43.2¢ | $8 | — |
| latinbi0xd977…3b58 | Casper Ruud | 15 | 43.2¢ | $6 | — |
| Leozln70x44e8…a34f | Casper Ruud | 14 | 43.2¢ | $6 | — |
| Gondolala0xf339…fc0c | Casper Ruud | 12 | 43.2¢ | $5 | — |
| Crag20250xa6cd…f008 | Casper Ruud | 12 | 43.2¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x1593…a6b7 | Casper Ruud | 12 | 50.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x43e3…953c | Casper Ruud | 12 | 50.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x5024…a850 | Casper Ruud | 12 | 50.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xcc2b…3680 | Casper Ruud | 12 | 50.0¢ | $5 | — |
| nobody14010x2398…a279 | Casper Ruud | 10 | 43.2¢ | $4 | — |
| jmp1230x147c…2540 | Felix Auger-Aliassime | 5 | 58.0¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 22,745 bets |
| CybertronCapital0x036a…4d10 | Felix Auger-Aliassime | 2 | 60.2¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Casper Ruud minus Felix Auger-Aliassime for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.